Hierarchical Modelling for CO2 Variation Prediction for HVAC System Operation
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Residential and industrial buildings are significant consumers of energy, which can be reduced by controlling their respective Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems. Demand-based Ventilation (DCV) determines the operational times of ventilation systems that depend on indoor air quality (IAQ) conditions, including CO2 concentration changes, and the occupants’ comfort requirements. The prediction of CO2 concentration changes can act as a proxy estimator of occupancy changes and provide feedback about the utility of current ventilation controls. This paper proposes a Hierarchical Model for CO2 Variation Predictions (HMCOVP) to accurately predict these variations. The proposed framework addresses two concerns in state-of-the-art implementations. First, the hierarchical structure enables fine-tuning of the produced models, facilitating their transferability to different spatial settings. Second, the formulation incorporates time dependencies, defining the relationship between different IAQ factors. Toward that goal, the HMCOVP decouples the variation prediction into two complementary steps. The first step transforms lagged versions of environmental features into image representations to predict the variations’ direction. The second step combines the first step’s result with environment-specific historical data to predict CO2 variations. Through the HMCOVP, these predictions, which outperformed state-of-the-art approaches, help the ventilation systems in their decision-making processes, reducing energy consumption and carbon-based emissions.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it