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Record W4380632342 · doi:10.1002/aaai.12095

Evaluation and Design of Generalist Systems (EDGeS)

2023· article· en· W4380632342 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
John Beverley, Amanda Hicks

Bibliographic record

VenueAI Magazine · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicExplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsArtificial intelligenceComputer scienceScalabilityTheme (computing)Machine learningWorld Wide Web

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The field of AI has undergone a series of transformations, each marking a new phase of development. The initial phase emphasized curation of symbolic models which excelled in capturing reasoning but were fragile and not scalable. The next phase was characterized by machine learning models—most recently large language models (LLMs)—which were more robust and easier to scale but struggled with reasoning. Now, we are witnessing a return to symbolic models as complementing machine learning. Successes of LLMs contrast with their inscrutability, inaccuracy, and hallucinations, which underwrite concerns over the reliability and trustworthiness of these systems, motivating investigations into commonsense reasoning, AI explainability, and formal verification techniques. Moreover, proper assessments of hybrid machine learning/symbolic systems require novel strategies to facilitate comparisons of performance and guide future AI progress. The EDGeS AAAI 2023 Spring symposium brought together researchers focusing on novel assessments and benchmarks for evaluating hybrid and artificial general intelligence (AGI) systems. This symposium revealed what was already suspected: research concerning evaluation of machine learning/symbolic hybrids and AGI is, unfortunately, lacking. Even so, the discussion was fruitful. One major theme that emerged was the exploration of symbolic reasoning systems and LLMs as complementary technologies. Grant Passmore (Imandra) illustrated how GPT-4 could be employed to generate symbolic representations of financial policy documents in natural language, which could be ingested by a proof assistant and model checker to identify potential loopholes in financial algorithms. Michael Gruninger (University of Toronto) outlined how we might characterize presumed sets of rules governing inputs/outputs of LLMs, making them easier to understand and validate. Ramesh Bharadwaj (Naval Research Laboratory) encouraged coupling LLMs with symbolic AI in the interest of automating code vulnerability detection. This optimism was challenged on at least two fronts. First, the adequacy of symbolic representations differs by domain. Financial policies may be amenable to rigorous formal representations, but formally representing even mundane activities, such as cracking an egg, can be notoriously laborious and are consequently often left incomplete. Second, many find it challenging to trust the outputs of model checkers and proof assistants for anything substantial. So, while exploration into relationships between LLMs and symbolic reasoning systems is growing, concerns of generalizability and trust are sobering realities. A further theme centered on how consciousness, intelligence, and commonsense reasoning relate to AGI. Leora Morgenstern (PARC) reported on the defeat of the Winograd Schema Challenge by LLMs. This challenge was designed around pairs of sentences involving pronoun reference ambiguity, which appear to require commonsense reasoning to disambiguate. The success of LLMs at this task led Morgenstern to question the role of surrogate task AGI testing. Joscha Bach (Intel) presented a framework of capabilities relevant to AGI, characterized by reflective awareness of input learned from embodied perception alongside internal validation by reasoning, and creative, autonomous interaction with the environment. Similarly, Pei Wang of Temple University, re-imagined intelligence as the ability to adapt to one's environment while operating with insufficient knowledge and resources. Gadi Singer (Intel) later added that one milestone we must reach before obtaining AGI is the development of “cognitive AI,” consisting of systems with multi-modal reasoning, learning, and unlearning capabilities. Morgenstern, Bach, Wang, and Singer each highlighted important characteristics differentiating AGI from task-focused AI systems. Altogether, these discussions made clear that AGI poses unique challenges for evaluation and assessment that go beyond measuring performance of a specific task. Rather, assessing AGI systems will resemble assessing natural, embodied intelligence. Though the main theme of our symposium, there were few concrete discussions of novel strategies for evaluating and benchmarking either machine learning/symbolic hybrids or AGI. Even so, speakers throughout the symposium reiterated the importance and lack of assessments and benchmarks for each. Indeed, many felt such research is a necessity, as we explore this new phase of AI development. Joscha Bach, Amanda Hicks, and the late John Piorkowski co-chaired the event, with Tetiana Grinberg, John Beverley, Steven Rogers, Grant Passmore, Ramin Hasani, Casey Richardson, Richard Granger, Jascha Achterberg, Kristinn Thorisson, Luc Steels, and Yulia Sandamirskaya as co-organizers. Papers from the symposium are published in OpenReview. The report was written by John Beverley (University of Buffalo) and Amanda Hicks (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory). The authors declare no conflict of Interest. John Beverley, Assistant Professor, SUNY University at Buffalo. Amanda Hicks, Senior Ontologist, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.015
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.041
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score0.082

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0150.041
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.003
Scholarly communication0.0030.004
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.096
GPT teacher head0.324
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
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