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Record W4387054732 · doi:10.3390/jrfm16100423

Forecasting of NIFTY 50 Index Price by Using Backward Elimination with an LSTM Model

2023· article· en· W4387054732 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Syed Hasan Jafar, Shakeb Akhtar, Hani El-Chaarani, Parvez Alam Khan, Ruaa Binsaddig

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of risk and financial management · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClosing (real estate)Index (typography)Artificial intelligenceComputer scienceStock market indexStock priceStock marketEconometricsLong short term memoryMachine learningArtificial neural networkMathematicsEconomicsFinanceRecurrent neural networkSeries (stratigraphy)History

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Predicting trends in the stock market is becoming complex and uncertain. In response, various artificial intelligence solutions have emerged. A significant solution for predicting the trends of a stock’s volatile and chaotic nature is drawn from deep learning. The present study’s objective is to compare and predict the closing price of the NIFTY 50 index through two significant deep learning methods—long short-term memory (LSTM) and backward elimination LSTM (BE-LSTM)—using 15 years’ worth of per day data obtained from Bloomberg. This study has considered the variables of date, high, open, low, close volume, as well as the 14-period relative strength index (RSI), to predict the closing price. The results of the comparative study show that backward elimination LSTM performs better than the LSTM model for predicting the NIFTY 50 index price for the next 30 days, with an accuracy of 95%. In conclusion, the proposed model has significantly improved the prediction of the NIFTY 50 index price.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.018

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.096
GPT teacher head0.355
Teacher spread0.259 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations32
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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