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LSTM Prediction and Portfolio Optimization for Artificial Intelligence Industry

2023· article· en· W4388535476 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvances in Economics Management and Political Sciences · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPortfolioStock marketPortfolio optimizationStock (firearms)Financial marketComputer sciencePreferenceArtificial intelligenceScope (computer science)Financial economicsEconomicsOperations researchFinanceEngineeringMicroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The launch of ChatGPT has overwhelmingly been revolutionizing the stock market. Of particular interests of stock traders and financial analysts, discovery about artificial intelligence stock market has become the main focus. The paper selected top worldwide artificial intelligence (AI) enterprises from Yahoo Finance and made future return forecasts with the long short-term memory networks (LSTM). The predicted information is employed in conducting portfolio optimization within the scope of mean-variance analysis to obtain an assessment of the portfolio’s performance. The outcomes illustrate that the utilization of the LSTM model exhibits aptness in forecasting the forthcoming returns of financial instruments. Furthermore, a favorable preference entails the inclusion of NVDIA and Microsoft stocks in the portfolio. These discoveries offer utility in proposing pioneering investment strategies and aligning with the prevailing tendencies of societal progression.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.366
Threshold uncertainty score0.362

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.130
GPT teacher head0.422
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it