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Record W4390034871 · doi:10.7202/1107007ar

Lessons Learned in Dealing with Large-Scale Disasters

2023· article· en· W4390034871 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Daniel F. Hutchison

Bibliographic record

VenueAssurances et gestion des risques · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicDisaster Response and Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsScale (ratio)HistoryGeographyCartography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Many OECD countries have been affected by major harmful events in recent years. The considerable human and economic costs of such events and the repercussion they might have for the global economy have become recurring causes for concern. Given its intergovernmental and multidisciplinary nature, and its experience in risk and disaster management in a variety of fields, the OECD is well positioned to analyse the impact of major disasters on societies and economies, and to identify optimal practices in response and recovery phases. To this end, the OECD’s International Futures Programme supervised a team of specialists from eight OECD directorates, and a team of Turkish specialists who provided the material for chapter 3. The report was prepared between May and July 2003. This report analyses the economic and social impacts of recent large-scale disasters, and draws some initial lessons for the monitoring and the management of future disasters. The report primarily focuses on restoring trust and securing recovery after a major harmful event has occurred. The events reviewed are as diverse as the Chernobyl nuclear accident, the Kobe and Marmara earthquakes, Hurricane Andrew, and the 11th September terrorist attacks on New York and Washington. Disasters such as these have in common massive effects on large concentrations of people, activity and wealth. They disrupt multiple vital Systems such as energy supplies, transport and communications. Their effects spread beyond the region originally affected and generate widespread anxiety. In some cases, the public expresses distrust of the ability of governments to protect citizens.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.012
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.024
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.014
Threshold uncertainty score0.066

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0120.024
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0040.006
Scholarly communication0.0090.012
Open science0.0040.005
Research integrity0.0080.010
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0100.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.144
GPT teacher head0.450
Teacher spread0.306 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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