Energy consumption disaggregation in commercial buildings: a time series decomposition approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
As commonly stated, we cannot manage what we do not measure. Understanding the flow of energy and its end-uses within a building is critical for energy management. Therefore, the lack of high resolution energy submetering is a significant barrier to efficient energy management in buildings. Despite this, many buildings still lack adequate submetering for their major end-uses because of the cost and practical restrictions. Energy disaggregation techniques aim at breaking down the bulk meter energy data into primary end-uses to gain insight into consumption patterns. However, high resolution, trustworthy BAS trend data is essential to develop reliable disaggregation techniques and capture unmeasured energy flow accurately. This paper explores a time series decomposition based method to disaggregate the total energy use into three major end uses namely lighting and plug loads, cooling, and heating energy use without BAS trend data. The results were compared with actual submetered data from ten office buildings in Ottawa, Canada for validation purposes. Specific insights into lighting and thermal scheduling, as well as hourly, daily, and monthly operational variations based on the de-composition components were discussed. The promising performance of the proposed method suggests that it could be used for quick and low cost auditing of commercial buildings with access to only the building’s total energy use data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".