Multi‐armed bandits, Thomson sampling and unsupervised machine learning in phylogenetic graph search
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A phylogenetic graph search relies on a large number of highly parameterized search procedures (e.g. branch-swapping, perturbation, simulated annealing, genetic algorithm). These procedures vary in effectiveness over datasets and at alternative points in analytical pipelines. The multi-armed bandit problem is applied to phylogenetic graph searching to more effectively utilize these procedures. Thompson sampling is applied to a collection of search and optimization "bandits" to favour productive search strategies over those that are less successful. This adaptive random sampling strategy is shown to be more effective in producing heuristically optimal phylogenetic graphs and more time efficient than existing uniform probability randomized search strategies. The strategy acts as a form of unsupervised machine learning that can be applied to a diversity of phylogenetic datasets without prior knowledge of their properties.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it