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Record W4394820768 · doi:10.1162/99608f92.d949f941

Government Interventions to Avert Future Catastrophic AI Risks

2024· article· en· W4394820768 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueHarvard Data Science Review · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicLeadership, Behavior, and Decision-Making Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGovernment (linguistics)Psychological interventionBusinessRisk analysis (engineering)PsychologyPsychiatry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This essay is a revised transcription of Yoshua Bengio's July 2023 testimony in front of the US Senate Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology, and the Law meeting on the topic of oversight of AI. It argues for caution and government interventions in regulation and research investments to mitigate the potentially catastrophic outcomes from future advances in AI as the technology approaches human-level cognitive abilities. It summarizes the trends in advancing capabilities and the uncertain timeline to these future advances, as well as the different types of catastrophic scenarios that could follow, including both intentional and unintentional cases, misuse by bad actors and intentional as well as unintended loss of control of powerful AIs. It makes public policy recommendations that include national regulation, international agreements, public research investments in AI safety as well as classified research investments to design aligned AI systems that can safely protect us from bad actors and uncontrolled dangerous AI systems. It highlights the need for strong democratic governance processes to control the safety and ethical use of future powerful AI systems, whether they are in private hands or under government authority.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.013
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScholarly communication, Open science, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.623
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0130.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.005
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0060.003
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.021

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.425
GPT teacher head0.535
Teacher spread0.110 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it