Counting Canola: Toward Generalizable Aerial Plant Detection Models
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Plant population counts are highly valued by crop producers as important early-season indicators of field health. Traditionally, emergence rate estimates have been acquired through manual counting, an approach that is labor-intensive and relies heavily on sampling techniques. By applying deep learning-based object detection models to aerial field imagery, accurate plant population counts can be obtained for much larger areas of a field. Unfortunately, current detection models often perform poorly when they are faced with image conditions that do not closely resemble the data found in their training sets. In this paper, we explore how specific facets of a plant detector's training set can affect its ability to generalize to unseen image sets. In particular, we examine how a plant detection model's generalizability is influenced by the size, diversity, and quality of its training data. Our experiments show that the gap between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance cannot be closed by merely increasing the size of a model's training set. We also demonstrate the importance of training set diversity in producing generalizable models, and show how different types of annotation noise can elicit different model behaviors in out-of-distribution test sets. We conduct our investigations with a large and diverse dataset of canola field imagery that we assembled over several years. We also present a new web tool, Canola Counter, which is specifically designed for remote-sensed aerial plant detection tasks. We use the Canola Counter tool to prepare our annotated canola seedling dataset and conduct our experiments. Both our dataset and web tool are publicly available.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it