A Framework for Monitoring the Effectiveness of Ecosystem-Based Adaptation Strategies Using Internet of Things and Machine Learning Techniques
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Climate change poses a threat to the global ecosystem. Many countries adopt various approaches, including ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA), to address this problem. However, the assessment of the effectiveness of the EbA interventions is conducted manually, is resource-intensive, and is focused on short-term outputs. These limitations underscore a critical gap: the need for a comprehensive, automated system that enables long-term monitoring and predictive analysis. This study aimed to address this gap by developing an innovative framework that integrates Internet of Things (IoT) devices and machine learning (ML) algorithms to continuously monitor weather, hydrological, environmental, and other variables. We conducted a thorough analysis to design an appropriate framework. In addition, to obtain the relevant information and data, we conducted interviews with the local community and collected secondary data from various sources. The proposed framework consists of five layers: (i) EbA interventions; (ii) IoT-based key performance indicators (KPI) for monitoring and evaluation (M&E); (iii) primary data collection; (iv) data storage; and (v) application. As a proof of concept, we developed a system that supports early flood and drought alerts while simultaneously providing long-term evaluations of the effectiveness of EbA strategies. The developed system consists of IoT devices and a web application integrated with machine learning (ML). We set up and tested the IoT devices before deploying them in the study area. The devices capture data for two primary purposes: (1) short-term: flood detection and alerting, and (2) long-term: drought prediction and evaluation of EbA effectiveness through continuous data analysis. This research represents a significant advancement in the automation and long-term assessment of climate adaptation measures, offering a scalable and effective solution to disaster risk reduction.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.006 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".