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Record W4409031944 · doi:10.1177/11786329251330032

Understanding Unmet Healthcare Needs in Nigeria: Implications for Universal Health Coverage

2025· article· en· W4409031944 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueHealth Services Insights · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealthcare Systems and Reforms
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNigeriansHealth careMedicineLogistic regressionEnvironmental healthPopulationInequalityCross-sectional studyEconomic growth

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: Many individuals in low- and middle-income countries with healthcare needs do not access the necessary, often lifesaving healthcare services. Existing universal health coverage (UHC) indicators do not account for a portion of the population with unmet healthcare needs. Objective: To estimate the prevalence, wealth-related inequality, and determinants of unmet healthcare needs in Nigeria using data from the nationally-representative Nigeria Living Standards Survey, 2018-2019. Methods: We analyzed data from a cross-sectional sample of 116 320 Nigerians from 22 110 households selected using multi-stage probability sampling. The outcome variable was self-reported unmet healthcare needs. We conducted concentration index (CIX) analyzes to assess wealth-related inequalities and performed multilevel logistic regression analysis to identify the determinants of unmet healthcare needs at the individual, household, and community levels. Results: The prevalence of unmet healthcare needs was 5.2% (95% CI: 5.0-5.5), representing about 11 million Nigerians (95% CI: 10.5-11.5 million). The most common reasons were high costs (unaffordability) and the perception that the illness or injury was not serious. Wagstaff-normalized CIX for unmet healthcare needs was pro-poor: -0.09730 for the general population and -0.10878 for those with chronic illnesses. Significant determinants of unmet healthcare needs include age (AOR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.99-1.00), chronic illness (AOR: 8.73, 95% CI: 7.99-9.55), single-person households (AOR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.20-2.02), poorest quintile households (AOR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.19-1.78), and mildly (AOR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.01-1.36) or moderately food-insecure households (AOR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.11-1.51). Conclusion: A significant proportion of Nigerians, particularly the very poor, chronically ill, those living alone, or food insecure, have unmet healthcare needs. This highlights the necessity for targeted interventions to ensure vulnerable populations can access essential healthcare services. To progress toward UHC, the Nigerian health system must address critical issues related to healthcare accessibility.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.788
Threshold uncertainty score0.981

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.086
GPT teacher head0.310
Teacher spread0.224 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it