Impact of information dissemination and behavioural responses on epidemic dynamics: A multi-layer network analysis
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Network models adeptly capture heterogeneities in individual interactions, making them well-suited for describing a wide range of real-world and virtual connections, including information diffusion, behavioural tendencies, and disease dynamic fluctuations. However, there is a notable methodological gap in existing studies examining the interplay between physical and virtual interactions and the impact of information dissemination and behavioural responses on disease propagation. We constructed a three-layer (information, cognition, and epidemic) network model to investigate the adoption of protective behaviours, such as wearing masks or practising social distancing, influenced by the diffusion and correction of misinformation. We examined five key events influencing the rate of information spread: (i) rumour transmission, (ii) information suppression, (iii) renewed interest in spreading misinformation, (iv) correction of misinformation, and (v) relapse to a stifler state after correction. We found that adopting information-based protection behaviours is more effective in mitigating disease spread than protection adoption induced by neighbourhood interactions. Specifically, our results show that warning and educating individuals to counter misinformation within the information network is a more effective strategy for curbing disease spread than suspending gossip spreaders from the network. Our study has practical implications for developing strategies to mitigate the impact of misinformation and enhance protective behavioural responses during disease outbreaks. ⋅ Adopting information-based protection is more effective than neighbourhood-based protection in mitigating disease spread, particularly when transmission rates are high. ⋅ Warning or educating individuals within the information network is more effective in reducing the overall attack rate than suspending gossip spreaders. ⋅ Hyper-edge multi-layer networks offer a comprehensive framework for connecting the virtual and physical dynamics of disease information and transmission.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it