Variational inference for microbiome survey data with application to global ocean data
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Linking sequence-derived microbial taxa abundances to host (patho-)physiology or habitat characteristics in a reproducible and interpretable manner has remained a formidable challenge for the analysis of microbiome survey data. Here, we introduce a flexible probabilistic modeling framework, VI-MIDAS (variational inference for microbiome survey data analysis), that enables joint estimation of context-dependent drivers and broad patterns of associations of microbial taxon abundances from microbiome survey data. VI-MIDAS comprises mechanisms for direct coupling of taxon abundances with covariates and taxa-specific latent coupling, which can incorporate spatio-temporal information and taxon-taxon interactions. We leverage mean-field variational inference for posterior VI-MIDAS model parameter estimation and illustrate model building and analysis using Tara Ocean Expedition survey data. Using VI-MIDAS' latent embedding model and tools from network analysis, we show that marine microbial communities can be broadly categorized into five modules, including SAR11-, nitrosopumilus-, and alteromondales-dominated communities, each associated with specific environmental and spatiotemporal signatures. VI-MIDAS also finds evidence for largely positive taxon-taxon associations in SAR11 or Rhodospirillales clades, and negative associations with Alteromonadales and Flavobacteriales classes. Our results indicate that VI-MIDAS provides a powerful integrative statistical analysis framework for discovering broad patterns of associations between microbial taxa and context-specific covariate data from microbiome survey data.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it