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Examining Evidence of a Trickle-Down Effect in Multiple Host Country Contexts: UEFA Euro 2020

2025· article· en· W4410197284 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueEvent Management · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicFiscal Policies and Political Economy
Canadian institutionsUniversity of WaterlooWestern University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTRICKLEHost (biology)Real world evidenceTourismBusinessPolitical scienceBiologyMedicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This article examines the trickle-down effect (TDE) phenomena in relation to the 2020 UEFA European Football Championship (Euro 2020). The cohosting format of this event, together with the availability of consistent data from the Eurobarometer (population-level data per country) on sport and physical activity participation across multiple jurisdictions, presented a unique research opportunity. Using preevent (2017) and postevent (2022) Eurobarometer surveys, we tested the main mechanisms by which TDEs are theorized to occur through quantitative secondary data analysis. The findings from our study provide tentative evidence in support of a TDE in some Euro 2020 cohost countries, but a direct cause and effect relationship is difficult to establish. We contend that the combination of hosting and success can contribute to protecting against declines in participation at population level. Our findings highlight the most predominant wicked problem for TDE research—the best available data is not always sufficient to evaluate TDEs.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.647
Threshold uncertainty score0.774

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.250
Teacher spread0.225 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it