Why Recommended Visit Intervals Should Be Extracted When Conducting Longitudinal Analyses Using Electronic Health Record Data: Examining Visit Mechanism and Sensitivity to Assessment Not at Random
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Electronic health records (EHRs) provide an efficient approach to generating rich longitudinal datasets. However, since patients visit as needed, the assessment times are typically irregular and may be related to the patient's health. Failing to account for this informative assessment process could result in biased estimates of the disease course. In this paper, we show how estimation of the disease trajectory can be enhanced by leveraging an underutilized piece of information that is often in the patient's EHR: physician-recommended intervals between visits. Specifically, we demonstrate how recommended intervals can be used in characterizing the assessment process and in investigating the sensitivity of the results to assessment not at random (ANAR). We illustrate our proposed approach in a clinic-based cohort study of juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM). In this study, we found that the recommended intervals explained 78% of the variability in the assessment times. Under a specific case of ANAR where we assumed that a worsening in disease led to patients visiting earlier than recommended, the estimated population average disease activity trajectory was shifted downward relative to the trajectory assuming assessment at random. These results demonstrate the crucial role recommended intervals play in improving the rigor of the analysis by allowing us to assess both the plausibility of the AAR assumption and the sensitivity of the results to departures from this assumption. Thus, we advise that studies using irregular longitudinal data should extract recommended visit intervals and follow our procedure for incorporating them into analyses.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.014 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it