pFedBL: Federated Bayesian Learning With Personalized Prior
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Most existing federated learning (FL) frameworks use deterministic models as the task model, which may suffer from overfitting due to small-scale data at client sides. Since Bayesian learning (BL) can quantify the uncertainty associated with both model parameters and prediction outcomes, there have been efforts to integrate BL with FL and the global objective is transformed into posterior approximation using Bayesian optimization. Variational inference is commonly used in such efforts which utilize the global distribution as the prior for the optimization of local Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and thus eliminates the need for assigning specific prior distributions for clients. However, due to statistical heterogeneity across clients, the global distribution, representing the collective knowledge of all clients, may not be precise as client prior. To address this concern, we propose a federated Bayesian learning framework with personalized priors (pFedBL) where each client is assigned with a local BNN. Specifically, we first introduce a KL-divergence-based distribution aggregation scheme to ensure the effectiveness of the global distribution. Meanwhile, under the mild assumption that the server has access to a general unlabeled dataset, the server uses predictions as well as predictive uncertainty of these data, derived from local BNNs, to construct feature distributions. These distributions are then provided to clients for fine-tuning the global distribution, resulting in personalized priors. In addition, to ensure optimal integration of local and global data insights, we design an adaptive ζ strategy in the local objective function to balance the log-likelihood estimation term and the KL divergence term. We provide theoretical analysis regarding the upper bound of the averaged generalization error for the proposed pFedBL and experimental results demonstrate its effectiveness on three datasets under different problem settings
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.007 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it