Cascading hazards, cascading consequences: Linking social-ecological systems in post-fire recovery
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Wildfires initiate a disturbance cascade in montane watersheds, often resulting in post-fire flooding and debris flows. These cascading hazards have cascading consequences for people’s lives that are not easily enumerated and occur over longer time horizons than are accounted for in post-fire response mechanisms. Drawing on more than two years of ethnographic fieldwork involving participant observation and interviews, I examine the complex circumstances of people’s lives in a rural, unincorporated community in northern Colorado following the Cameron Peak Fire in 2020. I demonstrate that while social and ecological disturbances can occur in a kind of feedback loop, tracing ecological disturbances can help us anticipate and respond to social ones. Drawing on existing ecological frameworks of the wildfire-flood disturbance cascade to interrogate the wildfire-social disturbance cascade enables the possibility of responding to wildfire in a way that explicitly links social-ecological systems. Conceptualizing wildfire as dual disturbance cascades—social and ecological—could facilitate research that examines the implications of flooding and debris flows following wildfire in a more systematic way.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it