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Record W4411198294 · doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e43489

Will climate change affect the quality of maple syrup?

2025· article· en· W4411198294 on OpenAlexafffund
Marie Filteau

Bibliographic record

VenueHeliyon · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldChemistry
TopicPlant-Derived Bioactive Compounds
Canadian institutionsUniversité Laval
FundersEnvironment and Climate Change Canada
KeywordsAffect (linguistics)MapleClimate changeMaple syrup urine diseaseQuality (philosophy)ChemistryEnvironmental sciencePsychologyBotanyBiologyPhysicsBiochemistryEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Climate change poses challenges to forests and agricultural systems, including the maple syrup sector, affecting not only the quantities produced, but also the quality of the product. The quality of maple syrup is influenced by factors related to the environment, tree biology, microorganisms, sap composition, and anthropological factors, including harvest methods. This study attempts to project the effect of climate change in three different climate scenarios on the quality of maple syrup by modeling a transition point in dormancy release, which is associated with the composition of maple water/sap and syrup quality. Sap flow season was predicted by assuming the flow parameters of two harvest methods, gravity and vacuum collection. For some parameters, the difference between the collection methods was similar or larger in size to the projected impact of climate change, demonstrating the importance of technology. Furthermore, projections indicated that climate change could increase the opportunity to collect maple water, which is associated with high-quality syrup, by altering the timing of dormancy release and bud break. However, the effects vary between the harvest methods, with a greater influence on gravity collection. Consequently, although maple syrup production may decrease due to climate change, the biological response of maple trees could help mitigate this loss by reducing the likelihood of producing atypical and nonconforming products. Therefore, adapted collection practices could help maple syrup producers reduce the impact of climate change on their production.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.017

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.321
Teacher spread0.274 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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