Personalized Human Thermal Sensation Prediction Based on Bayesian-Optimized Random Forest
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Establishing a predictive model for human thermal sensation serves as the fundamental theoretical basis for intelligent control of building HVAC systems based on thermal comfort. The traditional Predicted Mean Vote (PMV) model exhibits low accuracy in predicting human thermal sensation and is not well suited for practical applications. In this study, real thermal sensation survey data were collected and used to first analyze the discrepancy between PMV model predictions and actual human thermal sensation. Subsequently, a simple thermal sensation prediction model was developed using multiple linear regression. More accurate personalized thermal sensation prediction models were then constructed using various machine learning algorithms, followed by a comparative analysis of their performance. Finally, the best-performing model was further optimized using Bayesian methods to enhance hyperparameter tuning efficiency and improve the accuracy of personalized human thermal sensation prediction.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it