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Record W4413959912 · doi:10.1016/j.trgeo.2025.101710

A practical machine learning-based approach for predicting 1-D vertical swelling potential of expansive soils

2025· article· en· W4413959912 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenueTransportation Geotechnics · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicLandslides and related hazards
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaChina Scholarship Council
KeywordsExpansive claySwellingGeotechnical engineeringSoil waterExpansiveEnvironmental scienceSoil scienceGeologyMaterials scienceComposite material

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Several lightly loaded geotechnical and transportation infrastructures such as residential buildings, pipelines, roads, and railways have significant swelling potential challenges when they are placed on or within expansive soils. Reliable measurements of swelling potential of expansive soils are possible using conventional oedometer tests; however, their use in conventional practice is limited because they are time-consuming and costly. Several empirical equations have been proposed in the literature to alleviate these limitations; however, their applicability is limited for region-specific soils for which they have been developed. To overcome these limitations, in this study three machine learning-based prediction models were developed using a comprehensive global database of 173 expansive soils. The models, developed using Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines and Multilayer Perceptron algorithms, show strong performance on the compiled dataset, with coefficients of determination (R 2 ) of 0.887 or higher. Among them is a simplified model expressed as an explicit equation that requires clay fraction, dry density, plasticity index, specific gravity, vertical load, and water content information that performs well with an R 2 of 0.964. Most importantly, the model provides reasonable estimations of several case studies from various regions of the world. In summary, the model serves as a reliable tool for estimating the in-situ swelling potential of expansive soils. Finally, this study results are promising for proposing heave mitigation strategies and to develop rational design procedures and maintenance measures for lightly loaded geotechnical and transportation infrastructure.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.840
Threshold uncertainty score0.395

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.250
Teacher spread0.240 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it