High-Performance Simulation of Generalized Tempered Stable Random Variates: Exact and Numerical Methods for Heavy-Tailed Data
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) distribution extends classical stable laws through exponential tempering, preserving the power-law behavior while ensuring finite moments. This makes it especially suitable for modeling heavy-tailed financial data. However, the lack of closed-form densities poses significant challenges for simulation. This study provides a comprehensive and systematic comparison of GTS simulation methods, including rejection-based algorithms, series representations, and an enhanced Fast Fractional Fourier Transform (FRFT)-based inversion method. Through extensive numerical experiments on major financial assets (Bitcoin, Ethereum, the S&P 500, and the SPY ETF), this study demonstrates that the FRFT method outperforms others in terms of accuracy and ability to capture tail behavior, as validated by goodness-of-fit tests. Our results provide practitioners with robust and efficient simulation tools for applications in risk management, derivative pricing, and statistical modeling.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it