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Record W4415900844 · doi:10.1016/j.acags.2025.100303

A systematic review of machine learning models for groundwater level prediction

2025· review· en· W4415900844 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueApplied Computing and Geosciences · 2025
Typereview
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrological Forecasting Using AI
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersInternational Development Research Centre
KeywordsFeature selectionHyperparameter optimizationParticle swarm optimizationHyperparameterFeature (linguistics)Support vector machineArtificial neural networkRandom forestCluster analysis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This study presents a comprehensive synthesis of machine learning (ML) techniques applied to groundwater level (GWL) prediction, focusing on model architectures, feature selection methods, hyperparameter tuning, optimization algorithms, and clustering techniques. A total of 223 peer-reviewed articles were systematically reviewed using the PRISMA framework to guide study identification, inclusion, and exclusion. Widely used models include artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM), long short-term memory networks (LSTM), and random forests (RF). More recent studies increasingly employ hybrid approaches that integrate wavelet transforms, signal decomposition, and optimization techniques such as particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithms (GA), and ant colony optimization (ACO). Transformer-based models have also begun to emerge as promising tools in this domain. A central focus of this review is feature selection, which remains one of the most underdeveloped areas in GWL modeling. Most studies rely on simple filter methods like autocorrelation and mutual information. While SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) has gained some traction, more advanced techniques, such as recursive feature elimination (RFE), forward feature selection (FFS), factor analysis (FA), and self-organizing maps (SOM), are rarely used. Notably, no study systematically compared multiple feature selection strategies, limiting insights into their impact on model performance. Scientometric analysis shows that Iran, China, India, and the United States contribute the most impactful research. Despite strong predictive outcomes, trial-and-error remains the dominant approach to hyperparameter tuning. The review emphasizes the need for more systematic, interpretable, and generalizable ML approaches to support robust groundwater level (GWL) forecasting.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Systematic review · Consensus signal: Systematic review
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.154
Threshold uncertainty score0.707

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.055
GPT teacher head0.287
Teacher spread0.232 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it