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Nonparametric sector dependence modelling for the directional synthesis of local wind climate and building aerodynamic responses: Adaptive kernel-based approach

2025· article· en· W4416675536 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.
aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.

Bibliographic record

VenueStructural Safety · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicWind and Air Flow Studies
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaFaculty of Engineering, McGill University
KeywordsAerodynamicsDirectionalityRobustness (evolution)EstimatorNonparametric statisticsAeroelasticityWind tunnelWind speed

Abstract

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• A nonparametric sector dependence modelling technique using Adaptive Kernel Density Estimators (Adaptive-KDE) is proposed to address challenges in sector-based directionality methods. • The applicability, accuracy, and robustness of the Adaptive-KDE framework have been demonstrated through application examples, in which local wind climate data from the three cities were synthesized with the wind tunnel test data of an 18-story prototype mass timber building. • The proposed Adaptive-KDE directionality analysis framework gives predictions that closely match the results of the direct calculation method for service-level acceleration responses. • For high MRI winds, where dependence between sectors weakens, the predictions of the Adaptive-KDE approach align more closely with the multi-sector method. • The new framework enables the use of narrow sectors, extending the application of sector-based directionality analysis to state-of-the-art performance-based wind design approaches. Accounting for the directionality of wind is crucial in estimating the response of buildings to wind load. Sector-based directionality techniques are widely used for analyzing directionality effects. In single- and multi-sector methods, directional sectors of the local wind climate and building aerodynamic responses are analyzed separately, while their statistical correlation is assumed to be fully dependent or independent, respectively. The multi-sector method, which is preferred for structural design due to its relative conservatism, requires the use of wide sectors to ensure the statistical independence assumption holds. This, in turn, requires interpolating aerodynamic response parameters, which is prone to errors due to rapid variations with small directional changes. Moreover, performance-based wind design (PBWD) approaches, as outlined in the American Society of Civil Engineers Prestandard for PBWD, require 10-degree or narrower sectors in aerodynamic response representation for detailed directional resolution. Narrow wind sectors often exhibit correlation, necessitating accurate dependence modelling. Parametric copula-based methods have been used to model sector correlations; however, they impose restrictive assumptions on dependence patterns. Therefore, this paper proposes a sector-based directionality technique with nonparametric dependence modelling using adaptive kernel density estimators. To demonstrate the applicability and accuracy of the method, wind responses of a prototype mass-timber building hypothetically located in three cities: i.e., Toronto (Canada), Melbourne (Australia), and Baltimore (USA), were predicted. The predictions were compared with responses empirically computed from historical records. The results demonstrated that the method extends the applicability of sector-based directionality analysis to narrow sectors, making it suitable for PBWD approaches.

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.354
Threshold uncertainty score0.398

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.236
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it