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Comparing intraclass correlation coefficient estimators for binary outcomes in sample size calculations in twin pregnancies

2025· article· en· W4417524754 on OpenAlexaff
Peter Socha, Tim Daoust, Erica E. M. Moodie

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnals of Epidemiology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Canadian institutionsMcGill UniversityMcGill University Health Centre
Fundersnot available
KeywordsIntraclass correlationSample size determinationEstimatorLogistic regressionCorrelationSample (material)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

PURPOSE: Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) can be used to adjust for clustering in sample size calculations, but different ICC estimators for binary outcomes can return different estimates. We assessed the ability of five common ICC estimators to calculate sample sizes that achieve the desired power, for studies that compare binary outcomes in treated and untreated twin pregnancies. METHODS: We simulated studies in twin pregnancies with varying levels of clustering and outcome prevalence. We used ICC estimators derived from logistic generalized estimating equations (GEE), analysis of variance (ANOVA), linear mixed modelling (LMM), and logistic generalized linear mixed modelling (GLMM). We calculated the required sample size to obtain 80 % power (5 % Type I error) using a standard formula and used simulation to estimate the empirical power. RESULTS: ICC estimates from GEE, ANOVA, and LMM were similar to each other, constant across outcome prevalence, and yielded required sample sizes that achieved the desired power. ICC estimators using logistic GLMM varied across outcome prevalence and yielded required sample sizes that were larger than necessary (power >80 %) when clustering was high or when outcome prevalence was low. CONCLUSIONS: Investigators using ICCs in sample size calculations including twin pregnancies should consider avoiding estimates from logistic GLMMs.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.267
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.708
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.733
Threshold uncertainty score0.904

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.2670.708
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.004
Bibliometrics0.0050.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.004
Scholarly communication0.0030.003
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.277
GPT teacher head0.497
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.

Study designSimulation or modeling
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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