Relationship of body mass index with frailty and all-cause mortality among middle-aged and older adults
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Parallel to growth of aging and obese populations, the prevalence of metabolic diseases is rising. How body mass index (BMI) relates to frailty and mortality across frailty levels is controversial. We examined the associations of high BMI with frailty and mortality and explored the effects of percent body fat on these associations. Methods We included 29,937 participants aged ≥50 years from the 2001–2006 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cohorts (N=6062; 53.7% females) and from wave 1 (2004) of Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) (N=23,875; 54% females). BMI levels were categorized as: normal: 18.5–24.9 kg/m2, overweight: 25.0–29.9, obese grade 1: 30.0–34.9, and obese grade 2 or 3: >35.0. A frailty index (FI) was constructed excluding nutrition-related items: 36 items for NHANES and 57 items for SHARE. We categorized the FI using 0.1-point increments: FI ≤ 0.1 (non-frail), 0.1 < FI ≤ 0.2 (very mildly frail), 0.2 < FI ≤ 0.3 (mildly frail), and FI > 0.3 (moderately/severely frail). Percent body fat was measured using DXA for NHANES participants. All-cause mortality data were obtained until 2015 for NHANES and 2017 for SHARE to estimate 10-year mortality risk. All analyses were adjusted for age, sex, educational, marital, employment, and smoking statuses. Results Mean age of participants was 63.3±10.2 years for NHANES and 65.0±10.0 years for SHARE. In both cohorts, BMI levels ≥25 kg/m2 were associated with higher frailty, compared to normal BMI. In SHARE, having a BMI level greater than 35 kg/m2 increased mortality risk in participants with FI≤0.1 (HR 1.31, 95%CI 1.02–1.69). Overweight participants with FI scores >0.3 were at lower risk for mortality compared to normal BMI [NHANES (0.79, 0.64–0.96); SHARE (0.71, 0.63–0.80)]. Higher percent body fat was associated with higher frailty. Percent body fat significantly mediated the relationship between BMI levels and frailty but did not mediate the relationship between BMI levels and mortality risk. Conclusions Being overweight or obese is associated with higher frailty levels. In this study, we found that being overweight is a protective factor of mortality in moderately/severely frail people and obesity grade 1 may be protective for mortality for people with at least a mild level of frailty. In contrast, obesity grades 2 and 3 may be associated with higher mortality risk in non-frail people. The relationship between BMI and frailty is partially explained by body fat.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.607 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it