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Record W6991041769

Essays on monetary policy

2021· dissertation· en· W6991041769 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueJyväskylä University Digital Archive (University of Jyväskylä) · 2021
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic and Business Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPoint (geometry)Bad debtCircumstantial evidenceGovernment (linguistics)Monetary policyAppeasement
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This doctoral dissertation studies questions related to monetary policy and its economic effects. Particularly, the focus is on questions that have been relevant from the point of view of both practical policymaking as well as academic research in the recent decades. The dissertation consists of an introductory chapter and three distinct research essays. The two first essays are empirical, while the third one is more theoretical in nature. The first essay examines the role of stock and currency market information in the monetary policy rules of 14 OECD countries during the period of 1999– 2016. The results show that both the stock market as well as currency market variables have been statistically significant predictors in the monetary policy rules of several OECD countries. Additionally, the results indicate that stock and currency market variables have had significance for monetary policy through their potential role in providing information about future economic activity. The second essay examines the influence of United States monetary policy on the monetary policies of four small open economies. The results indicate that US monetary policy has systematically influenced the monetary policies especially in Canada and the UK. Moreover, surprise developments in US monetary policy are shown to affect the interest rates in Canada, Norway, and Sweden, although the strength of this result is somewhat dependent on the empirical method used. In addition, the essay studies whether the small open economies have utilised foreign exchange interventions to enhance their monetary policy autonomy. This hypothesis is not supported in light of the empirical results of the study. The third essay builds a theoretical general equilibrium model that analyses the extent to which the economic effects of the central bank’s quantitative easing are dependent on the fiscal policy conducted by the government. It is shown that the effectiveness of quantitative easing depends on whether the government adjusts its budget constraint through changes in taxation or by issuing debt. In the latter scenario, it is shown that quantitative easing is more effective when the government is issuing bonds of long maturity.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.746
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.166
Teacher spread0.151 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it