Indonesia Economic Quarterly, June 2010 : Continuity Amidst Volatility
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Indonesian economic quarterly \n reports on and synthesizes the past three months' key \n developments in Indonesia's economy. It places them in \n a longer-term and global context, and assesses the \n implications of these developments and other changes in \n policy for the outlook for Indonesia's economic and \n social welfare. Its coverage ranges from the macro economy \n to financial markets to indicators of human welfare and \n development. It is intended for a wide audience, including \n policy makers, business leaders, financial market \n participants, and the community of analysts and \n professionals engaged in Indonesia's evolving economy. \n Through an uncertain environment, Indonesia's economy \n continued to consolidate its recovery from the global \n economic and financial crisis. As expected, growth moderated \n in the first quarter of 2010, but remained above pre-crisis \n averages, and appears to have accelerated in the second. \n Price growth remained relatively modest for the most part, \n supporting consumers' spending power. International \n financial flows remained large but volatile, continuing to \n challenge policy makers. Further large flows in March and \n April into liquid Indonesian financial assets reversed \n during the volatility in global financial markets in May. \n But the authorities appear to have managed this well and the \n impact on local financial markets was comparatively small. \n The economy is expected to gradually accelerate through \n 2011, largely due to domestic demand. The renewed volatility \n in global financial conditions and uncertain developed \n economy outlook has increased the near term downside risks \n to forecasts, while domestic political developments appear \n to be increasing the longer-term risk that the government \n falls short of its ambitious reform agenda required to lift \n growth above 7 percent by mid-decade.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.161 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it