Three Papers on Retirement and Canada's Public Pension System
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In three chapters, I focus on how, and which, policy parameters of Canada’s public pension system affect seniors’ labour supply decisions. First, I study seniors’ labour supply responses to a series of reforms in 2012 and 2013 that incentivized many pensioners to extend their working lives; second, I assess how and whether receipt of public pension benefits affects seniors’ retirement timing differentially for those with different past earnings at ages 50-53; and, finally, I investigate older immigrants’ retirement and pension claiming decisions and how these decisions are impacted by permanent residency requirements for benefit eligibility. My analyses were carried out using income-tax and related panel data from the Longitudinal Administrative Databank (LAD), a 20% sample of taxpayers spanning the years 1982-2019 at the time of writing. In addition to detailed income-tax information, it contains information on receipt of non-taxable transfer income.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it