Notice bibliographique
Résumé
The dampening impact of the international cyclical slowdown on Austrian exports and business investment is being exacerbated by a decline in construction activity: in April and May, the sector's gross output fell by an inflation-adjusted 8 percent below the year-earlier level. Domestic manufacturing output held up well against the international cyclical slowdown until spring, but has since shown clear signs of weakening. In the second quarter, the production index was no higher than a year ago, having gained 6 percent during the first three months of the year. Exports and investment have also lost much of their previous momentum. Still more critical than in manufacturing, however, is the situation in the construction sector. In April and May, nominal output fell by 6½ percent year-on-year, or by 8 percent at constant prices. Particularly severe was the slump in residential construction (–14½ percent); gross output also fell in civil engineering. The sharp downturn is confirmed by the labour market statistics: 14, 000 construction jobs were lost from the previous year in the second quarter, and unemployment edged up by 3, 000. Leading business climate indicators do not yet support hopes for an imminent turnaround. Industrial confidence has weakened further in the third quarter. Results from the regular WIFO business survey have pointed down for the fifth time in a row. Sentiment in the construction sector has taken a steep fall. Exports remained surprisingly strong from January to April, gaining 10 percent year-on-year. In May, however, they failed to reach the year-earlier level, a reversal that is broadly in line with the slowdown abroad and firms' more pessimistic judgement on export orders. Tourism is currently providing major support to overall activity. The summer season has taken an encouraging start, with gross revenues from May to July rising by 5.2 percent from last year. Higher net earnings from cross-border tourism services are also largely responsible for an improvement in the current account. Consumer demand was still lively in the first quarter, but abated in the following period. Volume retail sales decelerated, while new car registrations declined. Wholesale trade was moreover affected by the slackening of exports and investment. Labour statistics for the trade sector, on the other hand, showing a net increase in the number of jobs and unemployment falling until mid-year, suggest a somewhat better situation. Labour market conditions overall are reflecting the cyclical slowdown. The year-on-year gains in employment (excluding people on parental leave and in military service) have narrowed to 0.4 percent by August, the number of unemployed is up by 15, 300. The seasonally adjusted rate of unemployment (as calculated by the labour market service) has moved up to 6 percent.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».