Notice bibliographique
Résumé
The Chicago Cubs will win the World Series again. This is not the speculation of a fan, for, as we all know, fans will speculate about everything and anything when it comes to baseball. Actually, so will the players, owners, and sportscasters. More often than not, they are wrong. Almost always they base their predictions, theories, and comments on emotion instead of PACT. We have seen their theories proven wrong again and again. Fans, owners, and sports journalists have tried to tell us that when a new sports franchise is placed in a city it would help the economy of that city. Economists have proven them wrong. The same group has tried to tell us that disparity in team revenues would make the leagues less competitive. Again, statistical scrutiny proves that just the opposite is true: the more revenue disparity increases, the more competitive teams become. So we have to look at just the PACTS. No speculation. No hubbub. The Cubs will win the World Series again. The World Series was first officially played in 1903, and the Boston Red Sox won it. The BoSox have won five World Series so far (not many lately though). This means we have had the World Series for ninety-eight years, representing ninety-seven titles because of 1994, the year of the strike. There are two very distinct groups in the World Series winner's circle. There are teams who have won the World Series only one time (nine different teams), and there are teams who have won the World Series two or more times (seventeen different teams). Interestingly enough the Chicago Cubs have won the World Series twice. This puts them in the elite group of teams who have won the World Series multiple times. It would seem only logical that if you were a member of this elite group of teams, eventually you would win three World Championships after having won two. A good example would be the Baltimore Orioles, who as of 1970 had only won two World Series titles but who currently have won three titles, based on their triumph in 1983. This is true also of the New York Yankees, St. Louis Cardinals, New York Giants, Boston Red Sox, Pittsburgh Pirates, Los Angeles Dodgers, Cincinnati Reds, Detroit Tigers, and Oakland Athletics. All of these teams had at one time won two World Series crowns and have now won three or more. It should be noted that all of the teams mentioned as winning three or more Series are currently active franchises in the Major Leagues. Of the small group of onetime World Series Championship teams, a group of nine, almost one-half of these franchises no longer exist (the Boston Braves, Brooklyn Dodgers, Milwaukee Braves, and Washington Senators). Further, there have been no fewer than three Braves teams who have won only a single World Series crown (however, never while in the same city). Can you imagine if they hadn't moved? The only team ever to win more than one World Series crown who is no longer in existence is the Philadelphia Athletics, a performance that likely can be attributed to the FACTS that Philadelphia isn't deserving of a World Series crown, let alone a professional baseball franchise. I mean, Philly is known only for cream cheese and for W. C. Fields's not wanting to be buried there. Plus the Philadelphia Phillies have won only a single World Series and are therefore destined to be eliminated from baseball, like 50 percent of the other teams who have won only one title. So, based on these FACTS, my conclusion is that if a team only wins one World Series title, there is a 50 percent chance that they will cease to exist; however, if a team should win a second title, there is a 100 percent chance that they will win a third World Series title (if you don't count Philadelphia, and everyone agrees there is no need to count that city). So there is a 100 percent chance that the Cubs will again win the World Series. This also means that there is a 50 percent chance that the teams who have won the World Series only once will cease to exist. …
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Communication savante | 0,003 | 0,002 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,558 | 0,261 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».