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Enregistrement W1972527482 · doi:10.1353/utq.2005.0199

The Straits of Malacca: Gateway or Gauntlet? (review)

2004· article· en· W1972527482 sur OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
John Roosa

Notice bibliographique

RevueUniversity of Toronto Quarterly · 2004
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineSocial Sciences
ThématiqueMaritime Security and History
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésBazaarHistoryPoliticsExclusive economic zoneGeographyEconomyPolitical scienceLawArchaeology

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Reviewed by: The Straits of Malacca: Gateway or Gauntlet? John Roosa (bio) Donald B. Freeman. The Straits of Malacca: Gateway or Gauntlet? McGill-Queen’s University Press. xxx, 249. $55.00 One of the unhappy coincidences for international trade is that its busiest shipping lane happens to be the most dangerous. About one-quarter of the world's traded goods pass through the Straits of Malacca every year, including Mideast oil bound for Japan, Chinese manufactures headed for Europe, and Indonesian coffee destined for Amsterdam. In heavy traffic, ships must delicately weave their way through the narrow straits, only five [End Page 528] kilometres of navigable width at one passage, past shallow shoals and rocky outcrops. These natural hazards are compounded by man-made ones. Legions of pirates operate with impunity from the coves and deltas of Indonesia's many islands along the straits. Of the 445 piracies in the world in 2003, the plurality (121) occurred in Indonesian waters. Donald Freeman has written a comprehensive overview of the environmental, economic, and political aspects of the Straits of Malacca. His focus is on role of the straits in the 'evolving patterns of regional and economic commerce over the past several millennia.' The book is organized as neither historical narrative nor geographical description. Instead, it is organized into themes pertaining to the commercial function of the straits. The first section describes the monsoon patterns and the early long-distance wind-dependent trade. The second section outlines a series of international trading systems, from the Greco-Roman era to the present. The third section analyses the 'gatekeepers,' the regional political institutions that have controlled or influenced the traffic through the straits. The fourth section reviews the environmental and social obstacles to that traffic. The final section charts the probable future trends in shipping, Asian economic development, and the management of the straits. Given the contents, the title of the book, presenting an either/or question, is misleading. Freeman writes of the straits as both a 'gateway' and a 'gauntlet.' This book, based almost entirely on secondary sources, might be best considered a convenient compendium of information about the straits as a shipping lane. Many topics are addressed in thirty-four chapters but none is explored in much depth. For instance, there are neither detailed statistics on the volume of the current transit trade (the straits as a 'gateway') nor a careful analysis of the risks from collision and piracy (the straits as a 'gauntlet'). Although the Straits of Malacca are more dangerous than other chokepoints, such as the Strait of Gibraltar, the actual risks do not seem great. Out of the tens of thousands of vessels that pass through the straits every year (about fifty thousand, according to articles I have seen in the Asian business press), only a fraction of a percent meet with a mishap. The first two sections of the book could have been drastically pruned, since they contain much tangential information. To explain the cyclical wind patterns influencing sailing through the straits, Freeman feels he must explain, in some technical detail, the meteorology of the entire planet. To explain the global circuits of trade, he recapitulates at length familiar facts of the Portuguese, Dutch, and British empires. On occasion, the book's superficial approach leads to oversimplification. Indonesia's bellicose 'Confrontation' with Malaysia from 1963 to 1966 was not clearly motivated by territorial expansionism, as Freeman contends. President Sukarno's stated purpose for the cross-straits and cross-border hostilities - fighting 'neo-colonialism' - needs to be granted some credibility. [End Page 529] Malaysia's military at the time was little more than the British military. With 'Confrontation,' Sukarno hoped, among other things, to drive the British out of Southeast Asia. Freeman does not mention that the US, with British connivance, used Malaysia and Singapore as bases for its hostilities against Indonesia in the late 1950s. One value of Freeman's book lies in its highlighting of the tension between the international use of the straits and their local management by the bordering nation states. Since the book was published, this tension has only intensified. The post-September 11 fears about a terrorist attack in this lightly policed shipping...

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,000
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: aucune
GenreSignal candidat: Synthèse · Signal consensuel: Synthèse
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,017
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,058

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0000,002
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0020,001
Bibliométrie0,0020,004
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,001
Communication savante0,0020,002
Science ouverte0,0010,001
Intégrité de la recherche0,0010,002
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0170,004

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,011
Tête enseignante GPT0,232
Écart entre enseignants0,221 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreSynthèse

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations1
Publié2004
Routes d'admission2
Résumé présentoui

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