How Safe Failure Pressure Ratios are Related to %SMYS

Majority of the pipeline operators manage corrosion using inline inspection (ILI). ILIs enable operators to choose which anomalies should be excavated and, on the flip side, which anomalies are safe to remain on the pipe. If the remaining anomalies grow to a critical size before the next ILI cycle there will be in-service failure. This is avoided by forecasting the growth of the measured defects appropriately and assessing them for future integrity. When an ILI is performed on a pipeline the ILI vendor reports the anomaly sizes, burst pressures and the Failure Pressure Ratios for each anomaly. Failure Pressure Ratio (FPR) for an anomaly is defined as the burst pressure divided by the Maximum allowable operation pressure (MAOP). In order to avoid ruptures, operators will excavate anomalies that have a limiting value of FPR. These limiting values are also referred to as response criteria, excavation criteria, safe failure pressure ratios, or safety factors. As the FPR depends heavily on the operating stress (or %SMYS) the limiting FPR value, below which we respond, should also depend on %SMYS. However, currently there is inconsistency in the use of response criteria in the industry. Some utilize the same response criteria for all pipe irrespective of %SMYS. This study shows that using the same limiting FPR does not provide the same level of safety for different %SMYS scenarios. It shows that the size of remaining anomalies in the lower %SMYS pipe would be significantly larger than in higher %SMYS pipe, leading to lower reliability in pipelines that have lower %SMYS. For gas pipelines, these lower %SMYS pipelines are often in higher location class pipelines with higher consequences of failure. In other words, even though the FPR value is the same for two anomalies in two different %SMYS pipes, the two anomalies would have very different probabilities of failure, where one anomaly could be safe while the other is not. This paper examines the ranges of FPR and the safe response criteria as a function of %SMYS. It examines the remaining anomaly sizes in different %SMYS pipe as allowed by current standards. The effect of the uncertainties on the response criteria due to measurement errors, material and geometric properties and model errors are also examined. It examines the response criteria in different jurisdictions. The effect of using different assessment equations, such as Modified B31G or RSTRENG, on the response criteria is also discussed. In order to obtain consistent safety, the consideration of %SMYS and consequences in defining a response criterion is discussed. Many sets of ILI data, which have pipe in different %SMYS, have been assessed in order to examine practical ranges of FPR with %SMYS. The practical implications of different response criteria are studied and discussed.

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