[Commentary] REDUCING SYRINGE SHARING AMONG INJECTING DRUG USERS IN WINNIPEG: 81% SUCCESS OR 19% FAILURE?
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Shaw and colleagues [1] present a statistically sophisticated analysis of determinants of syringe sharing among injecting drug users (IDUs) in Winnipeg, Canada. Nineteen per cent of the sample reported receptive syringe sharing in the 6 months prior to the interview. Receptive syringe sharing was associated with difficulties in obtaining syringes (odds ratio = 3.61) and a number of social relationship characteristics. Sharing was more frequent with sex partners, relatives, people to whom the subject felt emotionally close and people with whom the subject cooperated to obtain and use drugs. Interpretation of the ease/difficulty in obtaining syringes factor is relatively straightforward. Interpretation of the social relationship factors is more complicated as there is likely to be overlap among these factors, and the ability of multivariate analysis to determine ‘true’ independent contributions within complicated human relationships is limited. One advantage of the Shaw et al. analysis is that it permits estimating the population-attributable risk percentage for sharing due to difficulties in obtaining clean syringes. Fifteen per cent of the sample reported difficulties, so that almost 40% of the 19% of the subjects reporting sharing would be associated with difficulties in obtaining clean syringes. If these difficulties were removed, the percentage of subjects reporting sharing would presumably fall from 19% to approximately 12%. Before considering how this 12% of subjects sharing due to social factors might be reduced, it is worthwhile to consider what is going right among the IDUs in Winnipeg. Although Shaw and colleagues [1] do not report any trend data, the human immunodeficency virus (HIV) prevalence of 5% in their sample is low. Winnipeg appears to have avoided the rapid outbreaks of HIV among IDUs that occurred in other Canadian cities. This is notable because cocaine is the most commonly injected drug in Winnipeg, and the city has a high proportion of ethnic minorities (First Nations, Metis) IDUs. Cocaine injection and ethnic minority status were important factors in HIV transmission in cities such as Vancouver [2]. The Winnipeg IDUs also appear to be avoiding injecting in the wrong places. Very few report injecting in shooting galleries (6%) and very few in hotels (8%), locations that can generate rapid change in sharing partners and thus drive very rapid HIV transmission [3]. Of particular interest, only 49% of the subjects were hepatitis C virus (HCV) seropositive. This is a relatively low rate; in most IDU populations HCV prevalence ranges from 60% to 90% [4]. The Winnipeg sample reported a mean of over 13 years injecting, so that the relatively low HCV prevalence is not a simple function of short duration of injecting. Shaw et al. provide a sophisticated analysis of the determinants of recent receptive syringe sharing among IDUs in Winnipeg and consider how sharing might be reduced even further. Given what happened with HIV among IDUs in other Canadian cities, such as Montreal, Ottawa and Vancouver, it would be very helpful to have an equally sophisticated analysis of the reasons why IDUs in Winnipeg have such relatively low HIV and HCV seroprevalence.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,001 | 0,005 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».