Abstract 4720: Evaluation of a genomic classifier (Decipher®) in subsets of primary tumors with common prostate cancer genomic alterations

Abstract Background ETS gene fusions and PTEN loss are the most common genomic alteration events in prostate cancer that stratify patients into molecularly distinct subtypes. Recently, a commercially available genomic classifier (GC, DecipherTM) has been validated to predict metastasis in patients with high-risk prostate cancer. In this study we evaluated the robustness of the GC model in the light of prostate cancer molecular heterogeneity. Methods: Analysis of PTEN expression loss, ERG overexpression and GC scores were performed on a previously reported genome-wide microarray dataset (Karnes et al., 2013). Microarray probesets mapping to exons of PTEN were benchmarked to identify a representative exon whose loss of expression was highly correlated to FISH analysis for PTEN deletion (PTEN-loss) performed on an independent dataset. ERG overexpression (ERG+) was determined similarly and the microarray probesets that best correlate with the FISH status (in independent dataset) were used to annotate the ERG status of the samples in this study. Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC), and multivariable regression analysis were used to assess GC performance for predicting metastasis in subsets of patient tumors with genomic alterations. Results Using the microarray method 42% of the tumors had ERG overexpression, 23% had PTEN-loss and 11% had both events. ERG+ and PTEN-loss were not on their own predictive of metastasis with AUCs of 0.52 (CI:0.44-0.6) and 0.47(CI 0.39-0.56), respectively. In ERG+ tumors GC had an AUC of 0.82 (p=4e-7) and high GC score ERG+ patients had a hazard ratio (HR) of 100 (p=6e-7) for metastasis. Similarly, in PTEN-loss tumors GC had an AUC of 0.83 (p=7.9e-5) and high GC score PTEN-loss patients had an HR of 62 (p=1.8e-4) for metastasis. When GC was evaluated in patient tumors with both ERG+ and PTEN-loss the AUC was 0.85 (p=2e-15) and high GC score patients had an HR of 95 (p=4e-4) for metastasis. In multivariable analysis, Decipher was the only significant risk factor with an HR of 55 (CI 12.2-249, p=1.8e-7) for metastasis after adjusting for ERG+, PTEN-loss, Gleason score, PSA, tumor stage, margins and adjuvant treatment. Conclusion The Decipher genomic classifier is a powerful prognostic marker that retains its significance for predicting metastasis in subsets of patients with tumors that harbor common genomic alterations. Patients with high GC scores and these alterations may represent an extremely high-risk subset of prostate cancer. Citation Format: Mohammed Alshalalfa, Ismael Vergara, Nicholas Erho, Elai Davicioni, Robert Jenkins, Kollmeyer Thomas. Evaluation of a genomic classifier (Decipher®) in subsets of primary tumors with common prostate cancer genomic alterations. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 105th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2014 Apr 5-9; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2014;74(19 Suppl):Abstract nr 4720. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2014-4720

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