Use of transvaginal ultrasonography to predict preterm birth in women with a history of preterm birth
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether cervical length measured by transvaginal ultrasonography predicts spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks' gestation in women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth, stratified by spontaneous preterm birth history subtype (preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) or preterm labor with intact membranes at onset of labor). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth that were subsequently pregnant with singleton gestations, compared with a low-risk control group. Transvaginal ultrasonographic cervical lengths were measured at 24 to 30 weeks of gestation. The primary outcome was spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks. Secondary outcomes included spontaneous preterm birth at < 37 weeks and < 34 weeks, low birth weight, Cesarean delivery and perinatal morbidity and mortality. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to control for potential confounders and calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were used to determine the best cut-off for transvaginal ultrasound cervical length in predicting spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks. RESULTS: Women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth with intact membranes at onset of labor (n = 42) had a shorter cervical length (3.28 cm) than women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth with PPROM at onset of labor (n = 48, cervical length 3.77 cm; P = 0.019), and both subgroups had shorter cervical lengths than the low-risk control group (n = 103, cervical length 4.30 cm; P < 0.0001). Both subgroups were associated with spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks, < 37 weeks, < 34 weeks and birth weight < 2500 g. ROC curves determined that the best cut-off for cervical length to predict spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks was 3.0 cm. By multiple logistic regression analysis, the only independent predictors of spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks were cervical length < 3.0 cm, a history of spontaneous preterm birth and antepartum bleeding in the current pregnancy. In women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth, a cervical length as measured by transvaginal ultrasonography of < 3.0 cm had a sensitivity of 63.6%, specificity of 77.2%, positive predictive value of 28.0% and negative predictive value of 93.8%, for preterm birth at < 35 weeks. CONCLUSION: Women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth with preterm labor and intact membranes at the onset of labor have shorter cervices than women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth and PPROM at the onset of labor, and both groups have shorter cervices than a low-risk control group. Both groups of women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth have an increased risk of recurrent spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks, and this is predicted by a transvaginal ultrasound cervical length of < 3.0 cm.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,007 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».