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Enregistrement W2038338345 · doi:10.2471/blt.06.039545

The need for global planned mobilization of essential medicines: lessons from a massive Thai motulism outbreak

2007· article· en· W2038338345 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
Kumnuan Ungchusak

Notice bibliographique

RevueBulletin of the World Health Organization · 2007
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineMedicine
ThématiqueBotulinum Toxin and Related Neurological Disorders
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésOutbreakMobilizationMedicineEnvironmental healthFamily medicinePolitical scienceVirology

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Introduction A massive outbreak of botulism in northern Thailand in March 2006 tested international capacity to respond to a public health emergency. Botulism poisoning due to contaminated home-canned bamboo shoots caused illness in 209 villagers, of whom 134 persons were hospitalized and 42 required mechanical ventilation. A global search for Botulinum antitoxin began, involving international agencies, embassies, national laboratories, airlines and commercial organizations in seven countries. Sufficient antitoxin was obtained from four sources for treatment of 90 patients, but with delays in treatment of 5 to 9 days from time of exposure. Rapid local outbreak detection and an effective international response likely prevented mortality and additional morbidity. However, the international response to this public health emergency was informal and conducted through professional relationships rather than through predefined protocol for antitoxin acquisition. Stronger commitment through formal international agreements, including creation of global and regional stockpiles of critical medicines and supplies, is urgently needed. The outbreak On Wednesday, 15 March 2006, several patients sought treatment at Ban Luang district hospital with reports of gastroenteritis starting at 13:00. An outbreak of botulism was suspected, and an investigation was begun when another 10 patients presented to the emergency unit, some with bulbar palsies and respiratory compromise. (1) All patients had eaten home-canned bamboo shoots one day earlier, when approximately 330 villagers attended an annual religious rite in a small village in this district, during which home-canned bamboo shoots from two 20-litre cans were served without heating in small plastic bags for lunch. Over the following week, a total of 209 villagers had the onset of symptoms compatible with botulism. Among the affected villagers, 134 (64%) were hospitalized with paralysis ranging from minor bulbar palsies to quadraparesis; 42 (20%) of patients required mechanical ventilation for respiratory depression. There were no deaths. The epidemiological investigation of this outbreak has been reported previously. (2) The response Authorities in the province declared a public health emergency on Thursday 16 March. Immediately upon establishing a presumptive diagnosis of botulism poisoning, efforts were begun to obtain Botulinum antitoxin, which is life-saving if given within 48 hours. (3) The total number of cases and those with severe neuromuscular impairment requiring ventilatory support increased over the next several days, to 19 patients on ventilators by the third day and 39 by day six. Numbers of patients requiring ventilator support and times of request and deliveries of antitoxin are shown in Fig. 1. The process of obtaining antitoxin was difficult. Telephone and email contacts were established between the Thai public health ministry in Bangkok; embassies in Bangkok, Geneva and London; the World Health Organization in Geneva; the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Atlanta; the National Laboratory in the United Kingdom; and the Japan National Institute of Infectious Disease (NIID) in Tokyo. [FIGURE 1 OMITTED] Ultimately it was possible to obtain 93 vials (treatment courses) of antitoxin from the CDC, the United Kingdom's National Laboratory and NIID in Tokyo. An additional 10 vials were purchased from a commercial source in Canada. The first 20 patients with most severe neurological impairment received antitoxin on day five, and 70 more patients were treated by the ninth day after the exposure. Table 1 shows time intervals from the original exposure, initiation of requests for antitoxin, initiation of procurement from various sources and delivery to the hospital. If Thai authorities had not been able to mobilize 42 ventilators and staff to manage the most severely affected patients, these delays would have certainly resulted in significant mortality. …

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,000
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Observationnel · Signal consensuel: aucune
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: aucune
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,857
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,299

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0000,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0000,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,000
Communication savante0,0000,000
Science ouverte0,0000,000
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,000
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0000,000

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,012
Tête enseignante GPT0,299
Écart entre enseignants0,287 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeObservationnel
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations32
Publié2007
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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