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Enregistrement W2063158666 · doi:10.1177/0141076813499295

‘Defying providence’: a salutary new look at the history of smallpox

2013· article· en· W2063158666 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
Alfredo Morabia

Notice bibliographique

RevueJournal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2013
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineImmunology and Microbiology
ThématiquePoxvirus research and outbreaks
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesU.S. National Library of Medicine
Mots-clésSmallpoxCowpoxMedicineInoculationPlague (disease)HistoryBattleVirologyDemographyLawAncient historyImmunologyVaccinationVacciniaPolitical scienceBiologySociology

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Arthur W Boylston, Defying Providence. Smallpox and the forgotten medical revolution. Charleston, SC: CreateSpace, 2012; 282 pp. ISBN 978-1478232452 ‘Defying Providence tells the story of the many men and women who wrestled with their consciences to turn inoculation from a primitive folk practice into the most powerful weapon against smallpox in the 18th century.’ (p.10) Until the 18th century, the outcome of a smallpox infection was fated by providence. Between 10% and 20% of the infected died and, among the survivors, many remained stigmatized in their flesh and appearance for the rest of their lives. Plague had been public enemy number one of the 17th century. When its cyclic and deadly recurrences began to ebb, smallpox became the new scourge, a disease that killed princes and peasants alike. Lady Montague, who had had her children inoculated against smallpox in Turkey in 1718, popularized the technique in England. Still, it was a risky practice responsible for some deaths. Was inoculation more dangerous than a natural smallpox infection? Opinions were split until mortality among the inoculated and that of the naturally infected was compared. Inoculation reduced mortality by a factor of 10 in the 1720s, both in the UK and in North America. With this information the practice amplified. Many country doctors adopted it. In 1768, one of them noticed that some people working in farms did not have the usual clinical reactions following a smallpox inoculation. They seemed resistant. Many farm workers had previously contracted cowpox. This news spread among doctors, not among milkmaids. Could artificial inoculation of cowpox confer immunity against smallpox? Jenner’s brilliant idea led to the vaccine revolution, and finally the end of smallpox: ‘without inoculation the cowpox effect could not have been discovered. There was no folk tradition.’ The myth remains that the beautiful complexion of milkmaids spared from the disfiguring effects of smallpox ignited Jenner’s imagination, but it was likely the resistance to inoculation among farmers that opened the door to ‘vaccines’. A less-known aspect of the forgotten medical revolution of the 18th century is its impact on the American Revolution. General George Washington gave the landmark mandate to inoculate the colonial army. In America, the colonial and the English armies were not equally susceptible to smallpox. Most English soldiers were immune from previous infection or inoculation, while Washington’s troops, highly susceptible, were killed 10 times more by the disease than from combat. In 1777, surmounting defiance from state and army hierarchy, the Congress approved the plan to systematically inoculate its soldiers. The act was implemented during the next two consecutive years. ‘Thereafter,’ writes Boylston, ‘the threat to the revolution from smallpox was over. Inoculation became as much a part of soldiering as a musket […] Americans would have certainly lost the revolution without it because most American colonists had had little previous exposure to the virus, and therefore no immunity to it. When smallpox spread through susceptible soldiers, the force always disintegrated.’ (p.212). Still, inoculation had already weathered excessive hindrances; delays in inoculating the troops preparing to reach Quebec resulted in Canada remaining British. The style in Defying Providence is scholarly in its precision, paying attention to details, and citing primary sources extensively. But Boylston also has an undeniable ability for storytelling and suspense building. The result reads like a brilliant tale in which the practice of inoculation, after helping modern medicine forge its first research and conceptual tools, was later denigrated as dangerous and unacceptable when the public health preference shifted to vaccination. Smallpox was the main health scourge when the conditions for a science of epidemics (an epidemiology) began to exist. Boylston can therefore trace in these illustrious decades of the 18th century the early manifestations of comparative studies, ancestors of controlled trials, and of what came to be known as evidence-based or evidence-informed medicine. Defying Providence is a precious book about ‘one of medicine’s finest hours’, at the crossroad of the history of diseases, of medicine, and of epidemiology.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,002
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Synthèse · Signal consensuel: Synthèse
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,013
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,044

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0020,004
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,000
Bibliométrie0,0020,002
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0040,007
Communication savante0,0060,012
Science ouverte0,0010,003
Intégrité de la recherche0,0050,009
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0130,003

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,024
Tête enseignante GPT0,249
Écart entre enseignants0,225 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreSynthèse

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations0
Publié2013
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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