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Enregistrement W209538118

Trade in Information Technology

2009· article· en· W209538118 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
Suhail Abboushi

Notice bibliographique

RevueCompetition Forum · 2009
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
ThématiqueGlobal trade and economics
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésFellInternational tradeChinaTrade barrierEconomicsInternational economicsProductivityWorld tradeQuarter (Canadian coin)BusinessEconomic growthPolitical scienceGeography
DOInon disponible

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Information Technology Agreement has been successful in reducing tariffs by all ITA members and increasing trade in IT products. The rise in IT trade was especially strong in Asia whose IT exports grew to more than half of all world IT exports, and China in particular has become the lead IT exporting country in the world. The strong growth in IT trade can be attributed to the nature of IT products and to the impact of IT trade on a country's economic productivity and growth. Countries that have freer IT trade tend to experience more rapid economic development. Keywords: Information technology, Trade, Tariffs, Information Technology Agreement. INTRODUCTION - INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AGREEMENT International trade was one of the casualties to the global financial crisis of 2009. Japan's exports fell by 50 percent and China's by 17 percent. US exports dropped 30 percent and Germany's by more than a fifth. In the developing countries, it is estimated that 100 million people fell into poverty as a result of the crisis (Brown, 2009). WTO predicted a 10 percent drop in world trade in 2009 aggravating the economies of developing and developed countries alike. One industry that has been especially hurt by the decline in trade is information technology (IT). In India, for example, software exports fell by an astounding 96 percent in the first quarter of 2009 (Computer, 2009). In the United States, IT trade also fell sharply as shown in Table 1. All this is a cause for concern because IT makes up fourteen percent of total world trade, and also because IT trade contributes to trading countries' economic progress. Fortunately for the information technology industry, and in spite of the sharp decline, the industry did not fall prey to protectionism because it has been protected by the Information Technology Agreement (ITA) which guarantees unprecedented liberalization in IT trade. Twenty three countries signed the agreement in 1996 and implemented it in 1997 for the primary purposes of eliminating national trade barriers (NTBs) and promoting IT globalization and the ensuing economic transformation. In 2007, membership grew to 70 countries who together accounted for 97 percent of world IT trade. To become an ITA member, a country had to eliminate tariffs on all IT products covered in the Agreement. TRADE IN IT PRODUCTS Prior to ITA, and in the context of Uruguay Round of GATT negotiations, developed countries reduced tariffs on IT products to an average of 5 percent. After ITA, tariffs dropped to zero. Developing countries, on the other hand, had higher tariffs until ITA was ratified and their IT trade became duty free. This was a departure from their tradition of reluctance to remove trade barriers altogether. For example, and as Table 2 shows, IT products were 7.4 to 19.7 percent of all duty free products in the developed countries but made up 11 to 100 percent of duty free products among developing countries. Said differently, IT products were practically the only duty free products in many developing countries like Costa Rica, Egypt, El Salvador, India, Indonesia and Thailand. This could very well be the impact of ITA which succeeded in removing trade barriers where trade barriers were never removed. Since the inception of ITA in 1996, world exports of IT products grew by 8.5 percent as measured by nominal dollar values. Using 1996 as a base year, IT exports grew much faster than total manufacture merchandise exports as illustrated in the following numbers: By 2005, exports of manufactures rose to 186 percent while IT exports rose to 205 percent in spite of the severe decline in IT trade that accompanied the dot.com Internet bubble between 2000 and 2003, which resulted in substantial collapse of major players in IT industry worldwide. The non-dollar values of IT exports show larger volumes. Between 1996 and 2005, prices of IT products declined by an average of 6 percent annually when prices of manufactured non-IT products rose by an average of one percent annually. …

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,002
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,007
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: aucune
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,224
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,748

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0020,007
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,001
Bibliométrie0,0050,008
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0020,001
Communication savante0,0130,006
Science ouverte0,0010,002
Intégrité de la recherche0,0030,004
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,2240,166

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,021
Tête enseignante GPT0,191
Écart entre enseignants0,170 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations0
Publié2009
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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