A Clinical Prediction Model to Determine Outcomes in Patients with Cervical Spondylotic Myelopathy Undergoing Surgical Treatment
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Notice bibliographique
Résumé
BACKGROUND: Cervical spondylotic myelopathy is a progressive spine disease and the most common cause of spinal cord dysfunction worldwide. The objective of this study was to develop a prediction model, based on data from a prospective multi-center study, relating a combination of clinical and imaging variables to surgical outcome in patients with cervical spondylotic myelopathy. METHODS: Two hundred and seventy-eight patients diagnosed with cervical spondylotic myelopathy treated surgically were enrolled at twelve different sites in the multi-center AOSpine North America study. Univariate analyses were performed to evaluate the relationship between outcome, assessed with the modified Japanese Orthopaedic Association (mJOA) score, and various clinical and imaging predictors. A set of important candidate variables for the final model was selected on the basis of author consensus, literature support, and statistical findings. Logistic regression was used to formulate the final model. RESULTS: Univariate analyses demonstrated that the odds of a successful outcome decreased with a longer duration of symptoms (odds ratio [OR] = 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.65 to 0.98, p = 0.030); a lower baseline mJOA score (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.65 to 0.84, p < 0.0001); the presence of psychological comorbidities (OR = 0.51, 95% CI = 0.29 to 0.92, p = 0.024); the presence of broad-based, unstable gait (OR = 2.72, 95% CI = 1.47 to 5.06, p = 0.0018) or other gait impairment (OR = 3.56, 95% CI = 1.75 to 7.22, p = 0.0005); and older age (OR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.93 to 0.98, p = 0.0004). The dependent variable, the mJOA score at one year, was dichotomized for logistic regression: a "successful" outcome was defined as a final score of ≥16 and a "failed" outcome was a score of <16. The final model included age (OR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.94 to 0.99, p = 0.0017), duration of symptoms (OR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.61 to 0.997, p = 0.048), smoking status (OR = 0.46, 95% CI = 0.21 to 0.98, p = 0.043), impairment of gait (OR = 2.66, 95% CI = 1.17 to 6.06, p = 0.020), psychological comorbidities (OR = 0.33, 95% CI = 0.15 to 0.69, p = 0.0035), baseline mJOA score (OR = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.41, p = 0.0084), and baseline transverse area of the cord on magnetic resonance imaging (OR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.99 to 1.05, p = 0.19). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.79, indicating good model prediction. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of the results of the AOSpine North America study, we identified a list of the most important predictors of surgical outcome for cervical spondylotic myelopathy.
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Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle