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Enregistrement W2322483647 · doi:10.1097/00132981-200401000-00030

Concerns about SARS Could Complicate Patient Diagnoses

2004· article· en· W2322483647 sur OpenAlex

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Notice bibliographique

RevueEmergency Medicine News · 2004
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineHealth Professions
ThématiqueDisaster Response and Management
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésTriageMedicineOutbreakPandemicIsolation (microbiology)Medical emergencyEmergency departmentSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Disease controlDiseasePediatricsVirologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)PathologyPsychiatry

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Ferreting out whether a patient has influenza or severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is complex diagnostic puzzle that tests emergency departments. As concerns about a new outbreak of SARS mount, emergency physicians are wondering how they will cope in already-strained EDs. The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recently released an aggressive draft response plan for SARS control in the event of a U.S. outbreak. It calls for prompt isolation of any patient who presents with respiratory symptoms until he is accurately diagnosed. (A draft of the SARS response plan is available at www.cdc.gov/ncidod/sars.) SARS emerged in China last November, and caused an epidemic in Toronto, Canada, last spring, subsequently being identified as a new coronavirus. In July, Julie L. Gerberding, MD, the director of the CDC, said SARS could reappear, much like other respiratory illnesses such as influenza, and be spread by people who don't know they are carriers of the virus. “It would not be surprising if we had a resurgence,” said Dr. Gerberding. Current worries about SARS are exacerbated by the fact that influenza immunization is not 100 percent effective, and can't be relied on as a triage tool. While the CDC supports flu shots, especially for high-risk Americans such as the elderly, it does not recommend them for the sole purpose of reducing the number of patients who need to be evaluated for SARS, as detailed in the Oct. 3, 2003 issue of the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. If a patient who had a flu shot subsequently develops a febrile respiratory illness, warned the CDC, neither SARS nor influenza can be automatically ruled out. The CDC has released criteria for making a diagnosis of SARS (see box). Widespread concerns about SARS were evident at a recent forum in Washington, D.C., sponsored by the Institute of Medicine (IOM). In terms of a serious outbreak in the United States, “I don't think we're any better prepared to deal with SARS than we were 12 months before it even existed,” warned Michael T. Osterholm, PhD, the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota. “It's going to take more than just talk. I'm afraid we're going to have to write this book as it's unfolding.” No Masks One specific concern: an adequate supply of N-95 masks. Dr. Osterholm pointed out that at the height of the SARS epidemic last year, the 3M Co., which makes the masks, was backlogged by years. “SARS is a very nonspecific syndrome. This is not a good time to have a cough,” commented Martin S. Cetron, MD, an infectious disease specialist in the CDC's National Center for Infectious Diseases (NCID), Division of Global Migration and Quarantine. He urged hospitals to plan for “surge capacity” in the event of a major SARS outbreak. For emergency physicians, this is a particularly difficult time to be saddled with worries about SARS. New census data show that 2.4 million more Americans were uninsured in 2002 than in 2001 (43.6 million in 2002), which places more strain on EDs, said George Molzen, MD, the immediate past president of the American College of Emergency Physicians. “The increased demand from uninsured patients can push many emergency departments past their capacity,” he said. Ill patients will wait longer for hospital admissions, which means that undiagnosed patients will wait longer in the waiting room as well, he noted. If they do have SARS, they could expose other patients while they wait.Table: Signs of SARS: CDC GuidelinesCrowded waiting rooms or not, ultimately a diagnosis of SARS will be made by savvy clinicians, said Dan Rutz, a special assistant for communications to the CDC's NCID. “It's the astute physician or other front-line provider who's going to catch cases of SARS,” said Mr. Rutz. “Their importance can't be overstated.” To contain a SARS outbreak, the country should reinvent the time-honored concept of quarantine and use it in a nonstigmatizing, nonpunitive way, said Dr. Cetron. Quarantine, as defined by the CDC, is separating exposed people who appear well but may be infected and restricting their movements. Dr. Cetron said isolation separates sick patients who have a specific illness from healthy people to stop the spread of illness. During the 2003 SARS outbreak, infected U.S. patients were isolated until they were no longer infectious. If they were isolated at home, patients were asked to remain there 10 days following the resolution of their fever, provided that their respiratory symptoms were gone or improving. “It would not be surprising if we had a resurgence.” Dr. Julie Gerberding “I don't think we're any better prepared to deal with SARS than we were 12 months before it even existed.” Dr. Michael Osterholm “This is not a good time to have a cough.” Dr. Martin Cetron Real-World Delay “Quarantine is an ancient public health tool,” said Dr. Cetron. “We want to reinvent this tool and use it in modern times in a way that gets rid of the negative connotations but retains effectiveness.” A real-world delay in diagnoses gives rise to a time when SARS can propagate, said Dr. Cetron. “How many contacts will at-risk people have?” he asked. “How many of these contacts will become infected? Quarantine reduces that period of time. Quarantine is a delicate balance between individual liberties and the public good.” Modern quarantine, he said, is a form of self-preservation that “leverages the public's instinct for self-shielding. Even a partial or ‘leaky’ quarantine can reduce disease spread.” Dr. Cetron said a modern quarantine might include canceling public events, encouraging non-essential personnel to stay home from work, adopting “snow day” restrictions on activities, following holiday work schedules, and providing those in quarantine with all available disease-preventing interventions. According to the CDC, states generally have the authority to enforce quarantine within their borders, but this authority varies widely depending on the laws of each state. The CDC, through its Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, has the power to detain, medically examine, and release those suspected of carrying certain communicable diseases.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,000
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesCharge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)
Catégories consensuellesCharge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: Empirique
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,407
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,999

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0000,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,000
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,000
Communication savante0,0000,000
Science ouverte0,0000,000
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,000
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0110,002

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,159
Tête enseignante GPT0,478
Écart entre enseignants0,319 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle