Evaluation of the composite milk somatic cell count as a predictor of intramammary infection in dairy cattle
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
The objectives of this study were (1) to evaluate the test characteristics and predictive values of quarter-composite milk somatic cell count (quarter-cSCC) values based on either a single observation or the geometric mean of multiple recordings as a predictor of intramammary infection (IMI) in lactating dairy cows; and (2) to explore to what extent herd prevalence of IMI and cow factors such as parity and stage of lactation affect them. A total of 780 single-quarter milk samples were collected from 195 dairy cows for bacteriologic culture at a single cross-sectional herd screening performed at 21 different dairy herds as part of different research projects. Additionally, monthly quarter-cSCC milk samples at test day were available as part of the Dairy Herd Improvement program. Sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive valu (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated to differentiate cows infected with any pathogen and cows infected with major pathogens from uninfected cows. Different threshold values for quarter-cSCC, ranging between 50,000 and 500,000 cells/mL, were evaluated for all animals in the study, as well as for high- and low-prevalence herds, heifers and multiparous cows, and cows in early, mid, and late lactation. The overall Se and Sp at a threshold of 200,000 cells/mL for a single quarter-cSCC observation obtained closest to the time of bacteriologic culture were 44.3 and 87.3%, respectively, for cows infected with any pathogen, and 65.1 and 73.0%, respectively, for cows infected with major pathogens. The overall PPV and NPV at a threshold of 200,000 cells/mL for a single quarter-cSCC observation obtained closest to the time of bacteriologic culture were 89.9 and 38.1%, respectively, for cows infected with any pathogen, and 40.6% and 88.1%, respectively, for cows infected with major pathogens. No major differences were observed between estimates of the test characteristics and predictive values of the quarter-cSCC criteria based on a single observation and the geometric mean of multiple observations. For IMI with any pathogen, the Se and PPV were higher in high-prevalence herds than in low-prevalence herds, particularly at thresholds of 50,000 and 100,000 cells/mL. For IMI with major pathogens, Sp was substantially higher in low-prevalence herds than in high-prevalence herds. Sensitivity was higher in multiparous cows than in heifers infected with any pathogen, more specifically at a threshold of 100,000 and 200,000 cells/mL. For cows in early and mid lactation infected with any pathogen, Sp was higher than for cows in late lactation using the single observation closest to the time of bacteriologic culture. The results suggest that the quarter-cSCC threshold value to select cows for bacteriologic culture to maximize the likelihood of finding the causative pathogen of IMI should depend on the group of pathogens one is interested in, the herd prevalence of subclinical mastitis, lactation stage, and the cow's parity.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,002 | 0,005 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».