Venous Thromboembolism Recurrence after a First Episode of Provoked Venous Thrombosis Due to a Transient Risk Factor. A Systematic Review of the Literature
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Abstract Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) has a tendency to recur after anticoagulation is stopped. The optimal duration of anticoagulation is influenced by the risk of recurrence: indefinite anticoagulation is recommended after a first VTE associated with a persistent and strong risk factor (e.g. cancer), whereas three months of anticoagulation is adequate if VTE was provoked by a transient risk factor (e.g. surgery). The optimal duration of anticoagulation after a first unprovoked VTE is, however, still a matter of debate. An attractive approach is to identify subgroups of patients with unprovoked VTE who have a high risk of recurrence and treat them with prolonged anticoagulation, and subgroups with a lower risk of recurrence and treat them for only three months. A critical issue, therefore, is to determine a cut-off value for risk of recurrence that is low enough to justify stopping anticoagulant therapy at three months (i.e., a rate of recurrence that is acceptable to patients and physicians). We propose that the rate of recurrence after VTE that was provoked by a transient risk factor represents such a value. Aim of the study: To accurately estimate the risk of recurrence in patients with VTE provoked by a transient risk factor who have completed at least three months of anticoagulant therapy. Materials and Methods: Medline, Embase and Cochrane Collaboration Registry of Randomized Trials were searched for any studies reporting the recurrence rate of VTE after a first episode of VTE associated with a transient risk factor (surgery, trauma, plaster, bed rest, pregnancy, puerperium, hormone treatment). The references of retrieved articles were scanned for any additional relevant studies. Studies were included if enrolling patients met the following criteria: a first episode of VTE provoked by a transient risk factor; a course of at least three months of oral anticoagulant therapy; a follow up of 12 or 24 months after treatment discontinuation with assessment of VTE recurrence rate. Recurrence rate, or data that allowed its calculation, needed to be reported. An overall estimate of the recurrence rate was calculated following Laird (Stats Med 1990), having predefined to use a fixed-effect model if no heterogeneity was found among the studies or a random-effect model otherwise. The inverse variance method was used to calculate weights for the studies. Results: The literature search yield 1089 references. After careful scanning of the potentially relevant papers, 15 papers were included in the final analysis. All studies except one were prospective. 12/15 and 11/15 studies reported data about the recurrence rate at 12 and 24 months, respectively. Overall there were 106 events among of 2217 patients at 12 months and 160 events among 2321 patients at 24 months. The pooled recurrence rate was 4.0% (95% C.I. 3.0%–5.2%) at 12 months and 6.7% (95% C.I. 5.2%–8.6%) at 24 months. Conclusion: The cumulative risk of recurrence in patients with VTE provoked by a reversible risk factor is 6.7% (95% C.I. 5.2%–8.6%) two years after anticoagulant withdrawal. We suggest that it acceptable to stop anticoagulant therapy after three months in subgroups of patients with unprovoked VTE who have been shown to have a risk of recurrence that is similar to, or lower than, this rate.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,005 | 0,025 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,007 | 0,006 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,013 | 0,013 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Communication savante | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,003 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».