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Enregistrement W2566310771

priority assessment model for water distribution networks

2016· dissertation· en· W2566310771 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
ahmed moursi

Notice bibliographique

RevueSpectrum Research Repository (Concordia University) · 2016
Typedissertation
Langueen
DomaineEngineering
ThématiqueWater Systems and Optimization
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésCriticalityRanking (information retrieval)Pipeline transportBusinessAgency (philosophy)Critical infrastructureDistribution (mathematics)Report cardEnvironmental economicsAsset managementEnvironmental planningEngineeringEnvironmental scienceEnvironmental engineeringFinanceComputer scienceEconomicsComputer securityMathematics
DOInon disponible

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Infrastructure is a critical element in the countries’ growth and development. Poor management of these systems would lead to their failure and in turn to disastrous situations. According to the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) fifth report on drinking water infrastructure, the investments in the drinking water utilities need a total amount of $384.2 billion for the next 15 years, i.e. until December 2030. Also, according to the 2013 American’s Infrastructure Report Card, the Drinking Water System (DWS) is graded as “D”, implying a status between poor and fair, with an increasing failure probability. Similarly, as stated in the last 2016 Canadian Infrastructure Report Card, the water system received a ranking of “Good”, representing an ‘adequate for now’ status. However, about 29 percent of pipelines condition is rated between fair and very poor, signifying that an urgent repair is needed with total replacement cost of $ 60 billion. Meanwhile, due to budget deficits, municipalities find it is a challenge to prioritize which asset to repaire or rehabilitate. Thus, a lot of research is done to predict the probability of failure. Yet, most of this research is limited to the consequence of failure and the criticality of water pipelines. 
\nThe main objective of this study is to develop a priority index induced by a combination of the criticality and performance of water distribution network. In this research, criticality factors that affect the water distribution networks are identified. Criticality is divided into three main aspects: (i) Economic, (ii) Environmental/Operational and (iii) Social factors. Each of these key elements is divided into subfactors with different attributes to describe the actual status of the proposed area. Paprika and Swing techniques are used to determine the weights of subfactors. The effect values are obtained from experts from North America, Europe and Qatar through questionnaires and meetings. After all the required data are collected, the data are analyzed and incorporated into the criticality model to determine the criticality index for each pipeline in the desired location. A sensitivity analysis is conducted to define the factors with the highest and the lowest impact on the criticality index. It is determined that the “Road type” sub-factor has the highest influence on the criticality index, based on Qatar’s data analysis. Meanwhile, the “Pipeline diameter” sub-factor has the greatest impact on the criticality index, based on North America and Europe data analysis.
\nThe developed criticality index is utilized with the performance index to develop the priority index, which is illustrated on the emerged priority scale and matrix for a better evaluation of the current asset status. It is concluded that “Ville Marrie” sector is found to have the highest priority index in Montreal city, equals to 4.42. While,“Bizard Island” has the lowest priority index value in the city, equals to 3.69. The developed model will guide municipalities and governments to generate a capital plan and allocate the available budget to the most critical parts of their networks. These results are also used as a reference to highlight the key areas in each sector of the designed city that need an urgent repair. This will decrease the risks, defects and health hazards of the water networks while maintaining the safety and durability of the water distribution networks in a cost-effective manner.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,000
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesMéta-épidémiologie (sens strict)
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Simulation ou modélisation · Signal consensuel: Simulation ou modélisation
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: aucune
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,575
Score d'incertitude au seuil1,000

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0000,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,000
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0010,000
Communication savante0,0000,000
Science ouverte0,0000,000
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,001
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0000,000

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,018
Tête enseignante GPT0,259
Écart entre enseignants0,241 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.

Devis d'étudeSimulation ou modélisation
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations1
Publié2016
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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