MétaCan
Menu
Retour à la cohorte
Enregistrement W2781576967 · doi:10.1542/peds.2017-3647

Neonatal HSV Disease: Balancing the Low Incidence With the Need to Treat Promptly

2018· letter· en· W2781576967 sur OpenAlexaff
Sanjay Mahant, Jay G. Berry, David W. Kimberlin

Notice bibliographique

RevuePEDIATRICS · 2018
Typeletter
Langueen
DomaineMedicine
ThématiqueHerpesvirus Infections and Treatments
Établissements canadiensUniversity of TorontoSickKids Foundation
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésMedicineIncidence (geometry)DiseasePediatricsInternal medicine

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

In this issue of Pediatrics, Cruz et al1 address the following clinical question: what is the probability that an infant <60 days of age presenting to the emergency department (ED) who receives a lumbar puncture (LP) for concern of meningitis has a herpes simplex virus (HSV) infection? To answer this question, Cruz et al1 conducted a retrospective observational study and report on the incidence of HSV in infants <60 days old who had cerebrospinal fluid bacterial culture testing performed at 1 of 23 North American, tertiary-care, pediatric EDs over a 9-year period. There were 112 infants who had HSV identified, which amounts to 0.42%, or 42 of 10 000 (95% confidence interval, 35–51 of 10 000) infants evaluated. This estimate serves as the pretest probability of HSV infection in infants presenting to the ED who receive an LP for meningitis. On average, EDs saw ∼1 infant with HSV infection per year. Of neonatal HSV cases, 89.3% occurred in the first 6 weeks, with a median age of presentation of 14 days.Cruz et al1 also bring attention to an important issue on the state of affairs of hospital management of HSV in young infants: there is substantial variation in HSV testing and acyclovir administration across EDs. HSV testing ranged from 14% to 72%, and empirical acyclovir administration ranged from 4% to 53% across EDs. Furthermore, 16% of infants who were subsequently diagnosed with HSV infection did not receive empirical acyclovir administration.There are several important strengths of this study. Studies in which researchers report on rare conditions can only provide us with precise, meaningful estimates with large, multicenter collaborations in which researchers review data over years. Cruz et al1 reviewed ∼25 000 encounters of infants and relevant laboratory data across the 23 EDs. The retrospective and multicenter study design made this a relatively efficient study. The investigators used hospital charts for case verification and outcome measurement versus administrative data and billing codes. This reduces the chances of selection bias or bias from misclassification of outcomes. The study by Cruz et al1 also provides data on incidence that are clinically meaningful for ED practitioners. Interestingly, large population-based studies on the incidence and care patterns for neonatal HSV in the United States are missing. One recent report provides international estimates of neonatal HSV incidence at the level of different countries; however, mathematical modeling rather than actual cases is used to generate estimates.2The timely diagnosis of infants with neonatal HSV is a challenge for the individual clinician and the health care system. Neonatal HSV infection carries a high mortality and morbidity rate, and early antiviral treatment is associated with better outcomes. This can be used to argue strongly in favor of having a low threshold to assess for it. On the other hand, neonatal HSV is a rare infection, as Cruz et al1 and others have shown, so the overwhelming majority of infants who are assessed (and presumably treated) for it will not actually have an HSV infection. Furthermore, neonatal HSV infection has multiple presentations, including without rash and/or fever, and has considerable overlap with the initial presentation of bacterial and other viral infections.3,4 Validated clinical prediction rules are lacking (and likely will not be developed because of the low incidence of this infection) as are point-of-care diagnostics that can rapidly guide management. So, it is no surprise that there is debate even among experts around the best approach to HSV testing and empirical acyclovir administration.5,6 Cruz et al1 have estimated that 237 infants who were <60 days old and received an LP in the ED would need to be treated empirically with acyclovir so that all infants who are diagnosed with HSV receive acyclovir at the initial encounter. However, with safety as a motive, the empirical treatment of all such infants with acyclovir exposes thousands of infants across the country to the potential toxicities of acyclovir, iatrogenic harms of a longer hospital stay while waiting for viral test results, and increased hospital costs. Cruz et al1 do not report on harms either experienced by infants on empirical acyclovir treatment or differences in harm rates among centers in relation to their rates of empirical testing and treatment. The number needed to harm is an important balancing measure to consider.How do we improve care in the ED and hospital so that we identify and initiate empirical treatment in those infants who are at the highest risk of HSV infection and reduce the exposure and subsequent harms of testing and acyclovir treatment to those infants who are at the lowest risk? To begin with, we cannot rely solely on the education of clinicians on the diagnosis of neonatal HSV infection and the harms of overtesting and treatment. Pathways or protocols need to be implemented that can be used to guide clinicians on when testing and empirical treatment are appropriate. Those who create these pathways will have to rely on published case series and expert opinion to define the presentation characteristics of the at-risk group. Moreover, timely diagnostics, such as rapid HSV polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, need to be incorporated into these pathways when feasible, and these diagnostics must be assessed in this population (ie, we must assess neonates with HSV and not simply extrapolate results from adult populations).7 In addition to these recommendations, all infants who are assessed for neonatal HSV need to have the full workup performed on them. This includes cerebrospinal fluid and blood testing by PCR for HSV DNA detection as well as surface and lesion swabs for PCR and possibly viral cultures.8 For example, in the Cruz et al1 study, skin swabs for PCR or cultures were the most likely to have positive results, yet more than half of the infants with a central nervous system disease did not have skin specimens obtained.Most importantly, centers need to collect outcome data after the implementation of their pathways (to understand diagnostic outcomes, harms, and costs for the entire denominator of infants) so that we can learn from their strategies. Researchers in recent publications describe such efforts and early outcomes.9,10 Cruz et al1 provide substantial data that underscore these paths forward and are to be commended on their detailed efforts to answer some of these important questions.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,014
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,061
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Commentaire · Signal consensuel: Commentaire
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,014
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,074

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0140,061
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0020,001
Bibliométrie0,0040,003
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0020,004
Communication savante0,0100,009
Science ouverte0,0040,002
Intégrité de la recherche0,0140,011
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0020,002

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,008
Tête enseignante GPT0,245
Écart entre enseignants0,236 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreCommentaire

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations4
Publié2018
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

Explorer davantage

Même revuePEDIATRICSMême sujetHerpesvirus Infections and TreatmentsTravaux en français237 207