Application of a New Dynamic Tubular Stress Model With Friction
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Abstract A new dynamic model for casing and tubing design with friction has been developed. This paper applies the model to a field case study, an actual installation of a single trip, multizone completion in an offshore highly deviated ERD well. This is the first application of a comprehensive model with complete friction history to both installation and in-service loads. The field case demonstrates the results of a novel dynamic model for tubular stress and displacement with changing friction loads. Recorded hookload data during completion running and calibration of effective wellbore friction coefficients provided validation of the model. Accumulation of localized stresses at critical well locations is considered. The sensitivity of worst case downhole forces to the order of operational life cycle loads including stimulation, production and gas-lift was assessed. Stresses and displacements associated with each step of the setting process for multiple isolation packers were simulated. Theory and detailed description of the dynamic model are presented in an associated paper. A dynamic model of tubing forces is necessary to predict local pipe velocity which in turn determines the magnitude and direction of the local friction vectors. Distribution and orientation of wellbore friction contact is determined by the pipe running events but then is subject to change as cement and packers are set and as downhole operating conditions change. Order of life cycle conditions such as stimulation followed by production versus production followed by workover has significant impact on the magnitude of forces at worst-case locations. The investigation included the change in tubing wellbore frictional contact when completion brine is displaced with dry injection gas in conversion to gas-lift. The model demonstrated the significance of a different order of linked operations and showed that the standard available analysis tools may overlook or fail to identify worst case loads. Potential for acute load localization due to successive stimulation and production events was quantified. Impact of migration of friction loads during cyclical load events was also evaluated. The predicted initial axial load profiles were verified with recorded hook loads and corroborated with standard torque and drag model results. Comparisons are made against a previously published analytical technique. For the first time, a dynamic friction model enables seamless integration of running loads into a fully sequential analysis of subsequent well life cycle loads for landed strings. Current industry models tend to separate installation loads from the in-service life envelope. Ability to predict the changing friction orientation on installed tubulars is significant. Modelling life cycle loads in true sequence provides more accurate results for tubular design and enables a true analysis on the real-world order of well events.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».