EMS Heroin Overdoses with Refusal to Transport & Impacts on ED Overdose Surveillance
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
ObjectiveThe aim of this project was to explore changing patterns in patient refusal to transport by emergency medical services for classified heroin overdoses and possible implications on heroin overdose surveillance in Kentucky.IntroductionAs a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Enhanced State Opioid Overdose Surveillance (ESOOS) funded state, Kentucky started utilizing Emergency Medical Services (EMS) data to increase timeliness of state data on drug overdose events in late 2016. Using developed definitions of heroin overdose for EMS emergency runs, Kentucky analyzed the patterns of refused/transported EMS runs for both statewide and local jurisdictions. Changes in EMS transportation patterns of heroin overdoses can have a dramatic impact on other surveillance systems, such as emergency department (ED) claims data or syndromic surveillance (SyS) data.MethodsAs part of the ESOOS grant, Kentucky receives all emergency-only EMS runs monthly from Kentucky Board for Emergency Medical Services, Kentucky State Ambulance Reporting System data. Heroin cases were classified based on text and medications (Narcan) administered, with comparisons to historic data discussed elsewhere (Rock & Singleton, 2018). Transportation classifications are based on EMS standard elements defining treatment with transportation vs refusal to transport to hospital and canceled runs were excluded. Initial analysis included trend analysis at state and local levels, as well as demographic comparisons of refusal vs transported heroin overdose encounters.ResultsStatewide trends in EMS heroin overdoses with refusal transport significantly increased from 5% (n=42) in 2016 quarter three to 22% (n=290) in 2018 quarter two (Fig 1). Initial demographic analysis does not show any significant difference between refusals/transported for age, gender, or race. However, there are significant differences among geographic regions in Kentucky with heroin encounter refusal proportion ranging from 3%-48% in 2018 quarter two. Specifically, one urban area (Fig 2) shows the change in proportion of refusal increasing from 15% (n=23) in 2016 quarter three to 47% (n=110) in 2018 quarter two. In this geographic area, combined refused/transported EMS heroin overdoses compared to traditional ED data demonstrates opposing heroin overdose patterns for the same local with EMS showing and increasing trend overtime and ED showing a decreasing trend (Fig 3).ConclusionsTraditional public health surveillance for heroin overdose has historically relied on ED billing data, though agencies are starting to use syndromic surveillance, too (Vivolo-Kantor et al., 2016). These systems share similar underlying ED data, albeit with different components, quality, and limitations. However, in terms of the overdose epidemic, both are limited to only heroin overdoses that result in ED hospital encounters. The recent drastic increase in refused transport can have significant impacts on heroin surveillance. Jurisdictions relying on SyS or ED data for monitoring overdose patterns and/or evaluating interventions may be significantly underestimating acute overdose occurrence in the population. This analysis highlights the importance of this preclinical data source in surveillance of the heroin epidemic.ReferencesRock, P. J., & Singleton, M. D. (2018). Assessing Definitions of Heroin Overdose in ED & EMS Data Using Hospital Billing Data, 10(1), 2579.Vivolo-Kantor, A. M., Seth, P., Gladden, ; R Matthew, Mattson, C. L., Baldwin, G. T., Kite-Powell, A., & Coletta, M. A. (2016). Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report Vital Signs: Trends in Emergency Department Visits for Suspected Opioid Overdoses — United States, 67(9), 279–285. Retrieved from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/67/wr/pdfs/mm6709e1-H.pdf
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,002 | 0,012 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,003 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,006 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».