Retracted: Application of a Mathematical Model in Determining the Spread of the Rabies Virus: Simulation Study
Pourquoi ce travail est-il dans la base ?
Une base qui oublie comment elle a trouvé un travail ne peut pas être vérifiée. Voici les voies qui ont admis celui-ci.
Aucune affiliation canadienne. Une base fondée sur la seule affiliation (le devis habituel) n'aurait jamais vu ce travail. C'est l'un des travaux qui justifient l'inversion de la base.
Dossier post-publication
OpenAlex signale ce travail comme rétracté, mais aucune notice correspondante de Retraction Watch ne figure dans cette base.
Résumé
BACKGROUND: Rabies is an acute infectious disease of the central nervous system caused by the rabies virus. The mortality rate of rabies is almost 100%. For some countries with poor sanitation, the spread of rabies among dogs is very serious. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this paper was to study the ecological transmission mode of rabies to make theoretical contributions to the suppression of rabies in China. METHODS: A mathematical model of the transmission mode of rabies was constructed using relevant data from the literature and officially published figures in China. Using this model, we fitted the data of the number of patients with rabies and predicted the future number of patients with rabies. In addition, we studied the effectiveness of different rabies suppression measures. RESULTS: The results of the study indicated that the number of people infected with rabies will rise in the first stage, and then decrease. The model forecasted that in about 10 years, the number of rabies cases will be controlled within a relatively stable range. According to the prediction results of the model reported in this paper, the number of rabies cases will eventually plateau at approximately 500 people every year. Relatively effective rabies suppression measures include controlling the birth rate of domestic and wild dogs as well as increasing the level of rabies immunity in domestic dogs. CONCLUSIONS: The basic reproductive number of rabies in China is still greater than 1. That is, China currently has insufficient measures to control rabies. The research on the transmission mode of rabies and control measures in this paper can provide theoretical support for rabies control in China.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
La notice
- Revue
- JMIR Medical Informatics
- Thématique
- Rabies epidemiology and control
- Domaine
- Immunology and Microbiology
- Établissements canadiens
- —
- Organismes subventionnaires
- —
- Mots-clés
- RabiesRabies virusTransmission (telecommunications)Veterinary medicineVirologyEnvironmental healthMedicineComputer scienceTelecommunications
- Résumé présent dans OpenAlex
- oui