A Sand-Arch Stability Constrained Dynamic Fractal Wormhole Growth Model for Simulating Cold Heavy-Oil Production with Sand
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Summary Cold heavy-oil production with sand (CHOPS) is a nonthermal primary process that is widely adopted in many weakly consolidated heavy-oil deposits around the world. However, only 5 to 15% of the initial oil in place is typically recovered. Several solvent-assisted schemes are proposed as follow-up strategies to increase the recovery factor in post-CHOPS operations. The development of complex, heterogeneous, high-permeability channels or wormholes during CHOPS renders the analysis and scalability of these processes challenging. One of the key issues is how to properly estimate the dynamic growth of wormholes during CHOPS. Existing growth models generally offer a simplified representation of the wormhole network, which, in many cases, is denoted as an extended wellbore. Despite it being commonly acknowledged that wormhole growth due to sand-arch failure is likely to follow fractal statistics, there are no established workflows to incorporate sand-arch stability constraints into the construction of these fractal wormhole patterns. A novel dynamic wormhole growth model is developed to generate a set of realistic fractal wormhole networks during the CHOPS operations. It offers an improvement to the diffusion limited aggregation (DLA) algorithm with a sand-arch stability criterion. The outcome is a fractal pattern that mimics a realistic wormhole growth path, with sand-arch failure and fluidization being controlled by sand-arch stability constraints. The fractal pattern is updated dynamically by coupling compositional flow simulation on a locally refined grid and a stability criterion for the sand arch: the wormhole would continue expanding following the fractal pattern, provided that the pressure gradient at the tip exceeds the limit corresponding to a sand-arch stability criterion. Important transport mechanisms including foamy oil (nonequilibrium exsolution of gas) and sand-arch failure are integrated. Public field data for several CHOPS fields in Canada are used to examine the results of the dynamic wormhole growth model and flow simulations. For example, the sand production history is used to estimate a practical range for the critical pressure gradient representative of the sand-arch stability criterion. The oil and sand production histories show good agreement with the modeling results. In many CHOPS or post-CHOPS modeling studies, constant wormhole intensity is commonly assigned uniformly throughout the entire domain; as a result, the ensuing models are unlikely to capture the complex heterogeneous distribution of wormholes encountered in realistic reservoir settings. This work, however, proposes a novel model to integrate a set of statistical fractal patterns. The entire workflow has been readily integrated with commercial reservoir simulators, enabling it to be incorporated in practical field-scale operations design.
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Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
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