Enregistrement W3113178943 · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2020.11.010

Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019

2020· review· en· W3113178943 sur OpenAlexaff

Gregory A. Roth, George A. Mensah, Catherine O. Johnson, Giovanni Addolorato, Enrico Ammirati, Larry M. Baddour, Noël C. Barengo, Andrea Beaton, Emelia J. Benjamin, Catherine P. Benziger, Aimé Bonny, Michael Bräuer, Marianne Brodmann, Thomas J. Cahill, Jonathan R. Carapetis, Alberico L. Catapano, Sumeet S. Chugh, Leslie T. Cooper, Josef Coresh, Michael H Criqui, Nicole DeCleene, Kim A. Eagle, Sophia Emmons‐Bell, Valery L. Feigin, Joaquim Fernández‐Solà, Gerry Fowkes, Emmanuela Gakidou, Scott M. Grundy, Feng J. He, George Howard, Frank B. Hu, Lesley A. Inker, Ganesan Karthikeyan, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Walter J. Koroshetz, Carl J. Lavie, Donald M. Lloyd‐Jones, Hong Lü, Antonio Mirijello, Awoke Misganaw Temesgen, Ali H. Mokdad, Andrew Moran, Paul Muntner, Jagat Narula, Bruce Neal, Mpiko Ntsekhe, Glaucia Moraes de Oliveira, Catherine M Otto, Mayowa Owolabi, Michael Pratt, Sanjay Rajagopalan, Marissa B Reitsma, Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro, Nancy A. Rigotti, Anthony Rodgers, Craig Sable, Saate Shakil, Karen Sliwa‐Hahnle, Benjamin Stark, Johan Sundström, Patrick Timpel, Imad M. Tleyjeh, Marco Valgimigli, Theo Vos, Paul K. Whelton, Magdi Yacoub, Liesl Zühlke, Chris Murray, Valentı́n Fuster, F. Gerry R. Fowkes, Awoke Temesgen Misganaw, Gláucia Maria Moraes de Oliveira, Karen Sliwa, Mohsen Abbasi‐Kangevari, Alireza Abdi, Aidin Abedi, Victor Aboyans, Eman Abu‐Gharbieh, Abdelrahman Ibrahim Abushouk, Dilaram Acharya, Tim Adair, Oladimeji Adebayo, Zanfina Ademi, Shailesh M Advani, Khashayar Afshari, Ashkan Afshin, Gina Agarwal, Pradyumna Agasthi, Sohail Ahmad, Sepideh Ahmadi, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Budi Aji, Yonas Akalu, Wuraola Akande‐Sholabi, Addis Aklilu, Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna, Fares Alahdab, Ayman Al‐Eyadhy, Khalid F. AlHabib, Sheikh Mohammad Alif, Vahid Alipour, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, François Alla, Amir Almasi‐Hashiani, Sami Almustanyir, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, A. Kofi Amegah, Arya Aminorroaya, Hubert Amu, Dickson A Amugsi, Robert Ancuceanu, Deanna Anderlini, Tudorel Andrei, Cătălina Liliana Andrei, Alireza Ansari‐Moghaddam, Zelalem Alamrew Anteneh, Ippazio Cosimo Antonazzo, Benny Antony, Razique Anwer, Lambert Appiah, Jalal Arabloo, Johan Ärnlöv, Kurnia Dwi Artanti, Zerihun Ataro, Marcel Ausloos, Leticia Ávila‐Burgos, Asma Awan, Mamaru Ayenew Awoke, Henok Tadesse Ayele, Muluken Altaye Ayza, Samad Azari, D. BETTEGA P. CALZOLARI S. M. DOGLIA B, Nafiseh Baheiraei, Atif Amin Baig, Ahad Bakhtiari, Maciej Banach, Palash Chandra Banik, Emerson Augusto Baptista, Miguel A. Barboza, Lingkan Barua, Sanjay Basu, Neeraj Bedi, Yannick Béjot, Derrick Bennett, Isabela M. Benseñor, Adam E. Berman, Yihienew Mequanint Bezabih, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Sonu Bhaskar, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Ali Bijani, Boris Bikbov, Mulugeta Molla Birhanu, Archith Boloor, Luísa Campos Caldeira Brant, Hermann Brenner, Н. И. Брико, Zahid A Butt, Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Luis Alberto Cámera, Ismael Campos‐Nonato, Carlos Cantú‐Brito, Josip Car, Juan Jesús Carrero, Félix Carvalho, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Ferrán Catalá-López, Ester Cerin, Jaykaran Charan, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Simiao Chen, Ken Lee Chin, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Dinh‐Toi Chu, Sheng‐Chia Chung, Massimo Círillo, Sean Coffey, Sara Conti, Vera Marisa Costa, David K Cundiff, Omid Dadras, Baye Dagnew, Xiaochen Dai, Albertino Antonio Moura Damasceno, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Kairat Davletov, Vanessa De la Cruz‐Góngora, Fernando de la Hoz, Jan‐Walter De Neve, Edgar Denova‐Gutiérrez, Meseret Derbew Molla, Behailu Tariku Derseh, Rupak Desai, Günther Deuschl, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Meghnath Dhimal, Raja Ram Dhungana, Mostafa Dianatinasab, Daniel Díaz, Shirin Djalalinia, Клара Докова, Abdel Douiri, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, André Rodrigues Durães, Arielle Wilder Eagan, Sanam Ebtehaj, Aziz Eftekhari, Sahar Eftekharzadeh, Michael Ekholuenetale, Nevine El Nahas, Islam Y. Elgendy, Muhammed Elhadi, Shaimaa I El-Jaafary, Sadaf Esteghamati, Atkilt Esaiyas Etisso, Oghenowede Eyawo, Ibtihal Fadhil, Emerito Jose A Faraon, Pawan Faris, Medhat Farwati, Farshad Farzadfar, Eduarda Fernandes, Carlota Fernández Prendes, Pietro Ferrara, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, David Flood, Takeshi Fukumoto, Mohamed M. Gad, Shilpa Gaidhane, Morsaleh Ganji, Jalaj Garg, Abadi Kahsu Gebre, Birhan Gebresillassie Gebregiorgis, Kidane Z. Gebregzabiher, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel, Lemma Getacher, Abera Getachew Obsa, Alireza Ghajar, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Nermin Ghith, Simona Giampaoli, Syed Amir Gilani, Paramjit Gill, Richard F Gillum, Е. В. Глушкова, E. V. Gnedovskaya, Mahaveer Golechha, Kebebe Bekele Gonfa, Amir Hossein Goudarzian, Alessandra C. Goulart, Jenny S. Guadamuz, Avirup Guha, Yuming Guo, Vladimir Hachinski, Nima Hafezi‐Nejad, Teklehaimanot Gereziher Haile, Randah R Hamadeh, Samer Hamidi, Graeme J. Hankey, Arief Hargono, Risky Kusuma Hartono, Maryam Hashemian, Abdiwahab Hashi, Shoaib Hassan, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Rasmus Havmoeller, Simon I Hay, Khezar Hayat, Golnaz Heidari, Claudiu Herţeliu, Ramesh Holla, Mostafa Hosseini, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc, Mowafa Househ, Junjie Huang, Ayesha Humayun, Ivo Iavicoli, Charles Ibeneme, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Irena Ilić, Milena Ilić, Usman Iqbal, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Rakibul M. Islam, Hiroyasu Iso, Masao Iwagami, Vardhmaan Jain, Tahereh Javaheri, Sathish Kumar Jayapal, Shubha Jayaram, Ranil Jayawardena, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Ravi Prakash Jha, Jost B. Jonas, Jitendra Jonnagaddala, Farahnaz Joukar, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Mikk Jürisson, Ali Kabir, Tanvir Kahlon, Rohollah Kalhor, Ashwin Kamath, Ibrahim Kamel, Himal Kandel, Amit Kandel, André Karch, Ayele Semachew Kasa, Patrick DMC Katoto, Gbenga A Kayode, Yousef Khader, Mohammad Khammarnia, Muhammad Khan, Md Nuruzzaman Khan, Maseer Khan, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Khaled Khatab, Gulam Muhammed Al Kibria, Yun Jin Kim, Gyu Ri Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Sezer Kısa, Adnan Kısa, Mika Kivimäki, Dhaval Kolte, Ali Koolivand, Vladimir Andreevich Korshunov, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane Laxminarayana, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Vijay Krishnamoorthy, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, Burcu Küçük Biçer, Vaman Kulkarni, G Anil Kumar, Nithin Kumar, Om Kurmi, Dian Kusuma, Gene F. Kwan, Carlo La Vecchia, Ben Lacey, Tea Lallukka, Qing Lan, Savita Lasrado, Zohra S Lassi, Paolo Lauriola, Wayne R. Lawrence, Avula Laxmaiah, Kate E LeGrand, Ming‐Chieh Li, Bingyu Li, Shanshan Li, Stephen S Lim, Lee‐Ling Lim, Hualiang Lin, Ziqiang Lin, Ro‐Ting Lin, Xuefeng Liu, Alan D Lopez, Stefan Lorkowski, Paulo A. Lotufo, Alessandra Lugo, Nirmal K. M, Fabiana Madotto, Morteza Mahmoudi, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Ahmad Azam Malik, Abdullah Al Mamun, Navid Manafi, Mohammad Alì Mansournia, LG Mantovani, Santi Martini, Manu Raj Mathur, Giampiero Mazzaglia, Suresh Mehata, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Toni Meier, Ritesh G. Menezes, Atte Meretoja, Tomislav Meštrović, Bartosz Miazgowski, Tomasz Miazgowski, Irmina Maria Michałek, Ted R. Miller, Erkin М Мirrakhimov, Hamed Mirzaei, Babak Moazen, Masoud Moghadaszadeh, Yousef Mohammad, Dara K. Mohammad, Shafiu Mohammed, Mohammed A. Mohammed, Yaser Mokhayeri, Mariam Molokhia, Ahmed Al Montasir, Ghobad Moradi, Rahmatollah Moradzadeh, Paula Moraga, Lídia Morawska, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Jakub Morze, Sumaira Mubarik, Walter Muruet-Gutierrez, Kamarul Imran Musa, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Mahdi Nalini, Vinay Nangia, Atta Abbas Naqvi, Sreenivas Narasimha Swamy, Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Vinod C Nayak, Javad Nazari, Milad Nazarzadeh, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Sandhya Neupane Kandel, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Molly R Nixon, Bo Norrving, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Brice Nouthé, Christoph Nowak, Oluwakemi Ololade Odukoya, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Andrew T Olagunju, Hans Orru, Alberto Ortíz, Samuel M Ostroff, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Raffaele Palladino, Adrian Pană, Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas, Utsav Parekh, Eun‐Cheol Park, Mojtaba Parvizi, Fatemeh Pashazadeh Kan, Urvish Patel, Mona Pathak, Rajan Paudel, Veincent Christian Filipino Pepito, Arokiasamy Perianayagam, Norberto Perico, Hai Quang Pham, Thomas Pilgrim, М. А. Пирадов, Farhad Pishgar, Vivek Podder, Р. В. Полибин, Akram Pourshams, Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi, Navid Rabiee, Mohammad Rabiee, Amir Radfar, Alireza Rafiei, Fakher Rahim, Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Ivo Rakovac, Pradhum Ram, Sudha Ramalingam, Juwel Rana, Priyanga Ranasinghe, Sowmya J Rao, Priya Rathi, Lal Rawal, Wasiq Faraz Rawasia, Reza Rawassizadeh, Giuseppe Remuzzi, André M. N. Renzaho, Aziz Rezapour, Seyed Mohammad Riahi, Ross Roberts-Thomson, Leonardo Roever, Peter Rohloff, Michele Romoli, Gholamreza Roshandel, Godfrey Mutashambara Rwegerera, Seyedmohammad Saadatagah, Maha Saber-Ayad, Siamak Sabour, Simona Sacco, Masoumeh Sadeghi, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Saeed Safari, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Sana Salehi, Hamideh Salimzadeh, Mehrnoosh Samaei, Abdallah M Samy, Itamar S Santos, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Nizal Sarrafzadegan, Arash Sarveazad, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, Monika Sawhney, Mete Şaylan, María Inês Schmidt, Aletta E. Schutte, Subramanian Senthilkumaran, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Feng Sha, Saeed Shahabi, Izza Shahid, Masood Ali Shaikh, Mahdi Shamali, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Md Shajedur Rahman Shawon, Aziz Sheikh, Mika Shigematsu, Min‐Jeong Shin, Jae Il Shin, Rahman Shiri, Ivy Shiue, Kerem Shuval, Soraya Siabani, Tariq Jamal Siddiqi, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Jasvinder A. Singh, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, Amin Soheili, Emma Elizabeth Spurlock, Leo Stockfelt, Stefan Stortecky, Saverio Stranges, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Hooman Tadbiri, Eyayou Girma Tadesse, Degena Bahrey Tadesse, Masih Tajdini, Md. Tariqujjaman, Berhane Fseha Teklehaimanot, Mohamad‐Hani Temsah, Ayenew Kassie, Bhaskar Thakur, Rekha Thapar, Amanda G. Thrift, Binod Timalsina, Marcello Tonelli, Mathilde Touvier, Marcos Roberto Tovani‐Palone, Avnish Tripathi, Jaya Prasad Tripathy, Thomas Clement Truelsen, Gebiyaw Wudie Tsegaye, Nikolaos Tsilimparis, Biruk Shalmeno Tusa, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Krishna Kishore Umapathi, Brigid Unim, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Muhammad Usman, Muthiah Vaduganathan, Pascual Valdéz, Tommi Vasankari, Diana Zuleika Velazquez, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Giang Thu Vu, Isidora S Vujcic, Yasir Waheed, Yanzhong Wang, Fang Wang, Jingkai Wei, Robert G Weintraub, Ronny Westerman, Andrea Sylvia Winkler, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Charles Wolfe, Befikadu Legesse Wubishet, Gelin Xu, Ali Yadollahpour, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Lijing L. Yan, Srikanth Yandrapalli, Yuichiro Yano, Hiroshi Yatsuya, Tomas Yeheyis, Yigizie Yeshaw, Christopher Sabo Yilgwan, Naohiro Yonemoto, Chuanhua Yu, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Geevar Zachariah, Sojib Bin Zaman, Muhammed Shahriar Zaman, Maryam Zamanian, Ramin Zand, Alireza Zandifar, Afshin Zarghi, Михаил Сергеевич Застрожин, Anasthasia Zastrozhina, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Yunquan Zhang, Wangjian Zhang, Chenwen Zhong, Zhiyong Zou, Yves Miel H Zuñiga, Christopher J L Murray

Notice bibliographique

RevueJournal of the American College of Cardiology · 2020

Typereview

Langueen

DomaineMedicine

ThématiqueCardiovascular Health and Risk Factors

Établissements canadiensUniversity of British Columbia

Organismes subventionnairesNational Institute of Neurological Disorders and StrokeNational Heart, Lung, and Blood InstituteMedical Research CouncilRegeneron PharmaceuticalsMylanNational Institutes of HealthEsperion TherapeuticsFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas GeraisNational Human Genome Research InstituteDepartment for International DevelopmentDaiichi-SankyoVirginia Marine Resources CommissionConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoFondazione CariploAmgenNational Research FoundationAmryt PharmaIonis PharmaceuticalsDepartment for International Development, UK GovernmentNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney DiseasesSanofiNational Kidney FoundationKowa CompanyEli Lilly and CompanyAstraZenecaBill and Melinda Gates FoundationAmerican Heart Association

Mots-clésMedicineBurden of diseasePopulationDisease burdenYears of potential life lostDemographyEnvironmental healthIncidence (geometry)Disability-adjusted life yearGlobal healthCause of deathCase fatality rateLife expectancyPublic healthDisease

DOI10.1016/j.jacc.2020.11.010

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consistent estimates of population health over time, used all available population-level data sources on incidence, prevalence, case fatality, mortality, and health risks to produce estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Prevalent cases of total CVD nearly doubled from 271 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257 to 285 million) in 1990 to 523 million (95% UI: 497 to 550 million) in 2019, and the number of CVD deaths steadily increased from 12.1 million (95% UI:11.4 to 12.6 million) in 1990, reaching 18.6 million (95% UI: 17.1 to 19.7 million) in 2019. The global trends for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years of life lost also increased significantly, and years lived with disability doubled from 17.7 million (95% UI: 12.9 to 22.5 million) to 34.4 million (95% UI:24.9 to 43.6 million) over that period. The total number of DALYs due to IHD has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 182 million (95% UI: 170 to 194 million) DALYs, 9.14 million (95% UI: 8.40 to 9.74 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 197 million (95% UI: 178 to 220 million) prevalent cases of IHD in 2019. The total number of DALYs due to stroke has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 143 million (95% UI: 133 to 153 million) DALYs, 6.55 million (95% UI: 6.00 to 7.02 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 101 million (95% UI: 93.2 to 111 million) prevalent cases of stroke in 2019. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of disease burden in the world. CVD burden continues its decades-long rise for almost all countries outside high-income countries, and alarmingly, the age-standardized rate of CVD has begun to rise in some locations where it was previously declining in high-income countries. There is an urgent need to focus on implementing existing cost-effective policies and interventions if the world is to meet the targets for Sustainable Development Goal 3 and achieve a 30% reduction in premature mortality due to noncommunicable diseases.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,001

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,003

Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated

Catégories candidatesaucune

Catégories consensuellesaucune

DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune

Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet

GenreSignal candidat: Synthèse · Signal consensuel: aucune

Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,078

Score d'incertitude au seuil0,156

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

Catégorie	Codex	Gemma
Métarecherche	0,001	0,003
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)	0,001	0,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)	0,000	0,001
Bibliométrie	0,002	0,004
Études des sciences et des technologies	0,000	0,000
Communication savante	0,001	0,001
Science ouverte	0,000	0,001
Intégrité de la recherche	0,001	0,002
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)	0,005	0,003

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,016

Tête enseignante GPT0,297

Écart entre enseignants0,281 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail

Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.

Devis d'étudeSans objet

Domainenon disponible

GenreSynthèse

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations11 066

Publié2020

Routes d'admission1

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