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Enregistrement W3116301456 · doi:10.4103/sjmms.sjmms_882_20

Convalescent Plasma in COVID-19

2020· article· en· W3116301456 sur OpenAlexaff
Waleed Alhazzani, Roman Jaeschke

Notice bibliographique

RevueSaudi Journal of Medicine and Medical Sciences · 2020
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineMedicine
ThématiqueCOVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
Établissements canadiensMcMaster UniversityImpact
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésMedicineConfidence intervalHazard ratioInterimConfoundingPropensity score matchingEmergency medicineIntensive care unitCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Relative riskInterim analysisRandomizationRetrospective cohort studyInternal medicineIntensive care medicineRandomized controlled trialDisease

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

In this issue of the Saudi Journal of Medicine and Medical Sciences, AlShehry et al. report the interim findings of a phase II trial that describes the outcomes of 40 hospitalized adults with severe or critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) who received convalescent plasma (CP), in comparison with 124 matched controls who did not receive CP. Authors found no difference in the intensive care unit or hospital length of stay. Although there was an association between the use of CP and lower risk of death, the upper limit of the confidence interval (CI) is consistent with the possibility of no benefit (hazard ratio: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.3 to 1.03). The absolute difference in the risk of death was reported by authors as 13%. The process of collecting and administering CP followed the standard safety protocols in Saudi Arabia. Overall, there were no reported adverse events in the cohort of patients receiving CP. Authors concluded that CP is safe, and that it may reduce risk of death in COVID-19. While we congratulate the authors for their effort to explore this important area and for facilitating the complicated process of CP collection and administration, there are important concerns about the study design. Firstly, the lack of randomization limits the ability to generate prognostically balanced groups. Even though propensity matching was used, it does not completely account for selection bias and confounding factors, and should not be used as a substitute for randomization.[1] Secondly, the selection process of controls (prospective versus retrospective) could influence the validity of observations. Thirdly, authors presented the demographics with regards to matched variables, but other important prognostic variables such as more detailed severity of illness, other comorbidities, and the use of other interventions were not clear and will likely be explored in future publications of the trial. All those factors raise concerns about prognostically imbalanced groups (i.e., selection bias). Considering the above, readers should interpret the results with caution, and avoid making definitive inferences about possible reduction in mortality. To date, 5 randomized clinical trials (n = 960) have examined the effect of CP, compared with controls not receiving CP, in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.[23456] While CP appeared to be safe, none of these trials demonstrated a reduction in mortality with CP. Even the pooled estimate across trials for mortality outcome did not show definitive benefit or harm [Figure 1], challenging the results of the current trial and observational studies. Of note, the point estimate of mortality difference in the meta-analysis is 2.6% versus 13% observed by AlShehry et al. and neither of those differences was statistically significant.Figure 1: Pooled estimates of mortality outcome across five randomized control trials on convalescent plasma use in hospitalized COVID-19 adults using the Mantle–Haenszel Random-effects model. CP: Convalescent plasma, CI: Confidence intervalIn conclusion, the study by AlShehry et al. provides important information about the feasibility of using CP in Saudi Arabia and supports important clinical hypothesis. We congratulate authors on this accomplishment. It is our opinion, however, that further well-designed randomized clinical trials and their meta-analyses are urgently needed to determine the efficacy of CP in COVID-19 patients before widespread introduction of this intervention.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,006
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,218
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesMétarecherche, Études des sciences et des technologies
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: aucune
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: aucune
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,751
Score d'incertitude au seuil1,000

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0060,218
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,003
Communication savante0,0000,000
Science ouverte0,0000,000
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,001
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0010,000

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,194
Tête enseignante GPT0,501
Écart entre enseignants0,307 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.

Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations1
Publié2020
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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